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FocuSport v Rahimo

FocuSport

1–4Full time

Rahimo

Ligue 1 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 19:03

FocuSport 1–4 Rahimo RAHIMO WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Rahimo win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.451

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 7 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Rahimo win at 45%.
3′Much as we predicted: Rahimo was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 26–28–45
10′Rahimo find the net on 5′. 0–1. 0–1 · 8–18–74
31′A goal for Rahimo on 12′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–94
38′35′ and it is 0–3: Rahimo have scored. 0–3 · 0–1–99
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Rahimo win: 45% at kick-off, 99% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Rahimo win: 45% at kick-off, 94% now
45′HALF-TIME FocuSport 0–3 Rahimo
46′SECOND HALF FocuSport 0–3 Rahimo
68′⚽ GOAL · 67' FocuSport 1–3 Rahimo
90′⚽ GOAL · 92' FocuSport 1–4 Rahimo
FTFULL TIME FocuSport 1–4 Rahimo
FTFocuSport 1–4 Rahimo · Rahimo win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

FocuSport win26%

Draw29%

Rahimo win45%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rahimo winPublished 10 Oct 16:37

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Rahimo a 45% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FocuSport win	26%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Rahimo win	45%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
FocuSport or draw	55%	–	–
FocuSport clean sheet	27%	–	–
Rahimo clean sheet	39%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.2%

0123450 10.9 13.0 9.1 4.2 1 9.1 13.2 8.4 3.8 2 4.6 6.0 4.0 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FocuSport down, Rahimo across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,531 Ligue 1 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 28.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

FocuSport at home: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 2). Rahimo away: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.95 goals for FocuSport, 1.34 for Rahimo. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2020

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Ligue 1

FOCUSPORT

WWW1–0 · 3–2 · 3–2

RAHIMO

WWDWWL2–0 · 4–0 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	USFA	3	+6	9
2	FocuSport	3	+3	9
3	Vitesse	3	+3	7
4	ASFA-Yennenga	3	+2	6
5	Rahimo	3	+1	6
6	Majestic	4	−1	6
7	Réal du Faso	3	+1	4
8	Sporting Cascades	3	0	4
9	Maya	3	0	4
10	CFFEB	4	−1	4
11	ASFB	4	−2	4
12	SONABEL	3	0	3
13	Douanes	3	−1	3
14	Comoé	3	−2	3
15	RCK	3	−3	1
16	Salitas	4	−6	1