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Douanes v Maya

Douanes
2–1Full time
Maya

Ligue 1 · MON 12 OCT · Stade Demba Diop

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 19:11
Douanes 2–1 Maya DOUANES WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Douanes win43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.495

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay0 notes · 7 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Douanes win at 43%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Douanes v Maya
  3. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Douanes 1–0 Maya
  4. 45′HALF-TIME Douanes 1–0 Maya
  5. 46′SECOND HALF Douanes 1–0 Maya
  6. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Douanes 2–0 Maya
  7. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Douanes 2–1 Maya
  8. FTFULL TIME Douanes 2–1 Maya
  9. FTDouanes 2–1 Maya · Douanes win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 16:32 · locked at kick-off

Douanes win43%
Draw33%
Maya win24%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 16:30

VenueStade Demba Diop

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Douanes

Maya

9Days since last match8
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
9Maya304
14Douanes3−13

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · douanes winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Douanes a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Douanes win43%––
Draw33%––
Maya win24%––
Over 2.5 goals28%––
Both teams to score36%––
Over 1.5 goals56%––
Over 3.5 goals12%––
Douanes or draw76%––
Douanes clean sheet47%––
Maya clean sheet34%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.5%
0123450 16.5 11.2 4.5 1 16.5 13.4 4.8 2 9.4 7.0 2.7 3 3.5 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Douanes down, Maya across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2020

No meeting of these two in Ligue 1 since 2020 in our records. Only this competition's matches are held here: cup ties and meetings in other leagues are not, and we say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Ligue 1

DOUANES

WLLLLW2–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 2–1

MAYA

LDW0–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1USFA3+69
2Rahimo4+49
3FocuSport409
4Vitesse4+38
5SONABEL4+36
6ASFA-Yennenga3+26
7Majestic4−16
8Réal du Faso3+14
9Maya304
10CFFEB4−14
11ASFB4−24
12Comoé4−24
13Sporting Cascades4−34
14Douanes3−13
15RCK3−31
16Salitas4−61

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.