

ASFA-Yennenga v Réal du Faso
ASFA-Yennenga
Réal du FasoLigue 1 · SUN 18 OCT · Stade du 4 Aout
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said a draw at 36%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: the draw 36% before kick-off, 36% now. 0–0 · 35–36–29
- 1′KICK-OFF ASFA-Yennenga v Réal du Faso
- 5′Réal du Faso find the net on 5′. 0–1. 0–1 · 12–23–66
- 5′We said the draw at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–1 · 12–23–66
- 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' ASFA-Yennenga 0–1 Réal du Faso
- 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 5' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 23% now
- 5′THE CALL SWINGS · 5' Réal du Faso win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Draw 23%)
- 34′The goal count is tracking the 1.6 we expected. 0–1 · 7–22–71
- 45′HALF-TIME ASFA-Yennenga 0–1 Réal du Faso
- 47′SECOND HALF ASFA-Yennenga 0–1 Réal du Faso
- 52′We said the draw at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 4–19–77
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 16% now
- 68′We said the draw at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 2–14–84
- 78′We said the draw at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Draw: 36% at kick-off, 6% now
- 86′We said the draw at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 0–4–96
- FTFULL TIME ASFA-Yennenga 0–1 Réal du Faso
- FTASFA-Yennenga 0–1 Réal du Faso · Draw: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Under 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
A draw is the likeliest result.
The Pitchside prediction: ASFA-Yennenga 35%, draw 36%, Réal du Faso 29%. Over 2.5 goals 22%, both teams to score 31%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 15 Oct 12:26 · locked at kick-off
ASFA-Yennenga win35%
Réal du Faso win29%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:30
RoundMatchday 5
VenueStade du 4 Aout
Match timeline
All events
ASFA-YennengaMIN
Réal du FasoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
ASFA-Yennenga
Réal du Faso
Last match: 12 Oct · Ligue 1 (Burkina Faso)
Last match: 12 Oct · Ligue 1 (Burkina Faso)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make the draw a 36% chance. The model expects 0.9–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 21%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASFA-Yennenga win | 35% | – | – |
| Draw | 36% | – | – |
| Réal du Faso win | 29% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 22% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 31% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 49% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 8% | – | – |
| ASFA-Yennenga or draw | 71% | – | – |
| ASFA-Yennenga clean sheet | 47% | – | – |
| Réal du Faso clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 19 Sept
ASFA-YENNENGA
RÉAL DU FASO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rahimo | 5 | +6 | 12 |
| 2 | USFA | 5 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | ASFA-Yennenga | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 | FocuSport | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Vitesse | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 6 | ASFB | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | SONABEL | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 | Douanes | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Majestic | 5 | −2 | 6 |
| 10 | Maya | 4 | −1 | 4 |
| 11 | RCK | 4 | −2 | 4 |
| 12 | Sporting Cascades | 5 | −5 | 4 |
| 13 | Réal du Faso | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | CFFEB | 4 | −1 | 4 |
| 15 | Comoé | 5 | −4 | 4 |
| 16 | Salitas | 4 | −6 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Last updated 18 Oct 03:46 UK time.
Rahimo
USFA
FocuSport
Vitesse
ASFB
SONABEL
Douanes
Majestic
Maya
RCK
Sporting Cascades
CFFEB
Comoé
Salitas