Slavia Sofia II v Bansko prediction · Third League

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Slavia Sofia II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Slavia Sofia II 51%, draw 23%, Bansko 26%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Slavia Sofia II v BanskoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 9 Oct 06:15 · postponed, not graded

Slavia Sofia II win51%

Draw23%

Bansko win26%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 14:00

RoundSouthwest · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Slavia Sofia II

Bansko

14Days since last match14

Last match: 7 Oct · Third League - Southwest

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Bansko	10	+8	22
11	Slavia Sofia II	10	+1	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · slavia sofia ii winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · postponed, not graded

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Slavia Sofia II a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Slavia Sofia II v Bansko~~1.79 – 1.20

~~Form · last six in Third League - Southwest this season · since 29 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 22~~11 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Slavia Sofia II win	51%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Bansko win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Slavia Sofia II or draw	74%	–	–
Slavia Sofia II clean sheet	31%	–	–
Bansko clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.5%

0123450 5.2 6.4 3.7 1 9.3 10.5 6.4 2.6 2 8.0 9.3 5.6 2.3 3 4.7 5.5 3.3 4 2.2 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Slavia Sofia II down, Bansko across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,823 Third League - Southwest matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Third League - Southwest matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.1% of games this season, across 98 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.62 goals a meeting; 3 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Slavia Sofia II at home: 2.17 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Bansko away: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.79 goals for Slavia Sofia II, 1.20 for Bansko. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.62

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~BAN 1–1 SLA · SLA 0–1 BAN · SLA 1–1 BAN · BAN 2–0 SLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Third League - Southwest this season · since 29 Aug

SLAVIA SOFIA II

WLWLWL1–0 · 2–3 · 4–0 · 0–2 · 5–0 · 1–5

BANSKO

WLLWWW4–1 · 0–4 · 0–3 · 3–1 · 3–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FK Minyor Pernik	11	+18	26
2	Oborishte	10	+12	22
3	Bansko	10	+8	22
4	Strumska Slava	10	+8	19
5	Septemvri Sofia II	10	+5	19
6	Balkan Botevgrad	11	0	19
7	Kostinbrod	11	+6	18
8	Botev Ihtiman	10	+1	15
9	Slivnishki geroy	11	−2	14
10	Septemvri Simitli	11	−4	13
11	Slavia Sofia II	10	+1	12
12	CSKA Sofia III	10	0	12
13	Levski Sofia II	11	−2	12
14	Belasitsa	11	−4	11
15	Chavdar Etropole	11	−16	10
16	Kyustendil	10	−6	9
17	Natsional Sofia	11	−8	7
18	Pirin Razlog	11	−17	7