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Levski Sofia II v FK Minyor Pernik

Levski Sofia II

0–2Full time

FK Minyor Pernik

Third League - Southwest · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Levski Sofia II 0–2 FK Minyor Pernik FK MINYOR PERNIK WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said FK Minyor Pernik win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.376

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Levski Sofia II win24%

Draw26%

FK Minyor Pernik win50%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fk minyor pernik winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

50% The market–

Us50%

We make FK Minyor Pernik a 50% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.4, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Levski Sofia II win	24%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
FK Minyor Pernik win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	41%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	66%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	21%	–	–
Levski Sofia II or draw	50%	–	–
Levski Sofia II clean sheet	25%	–	–
FK Minyor Pernik clean sheet	43%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 14.4%

0123450 10.3 14.4 10.2 5.0 1 8.8 11.7 8.3 4.0 2 3.9 5.3 3.7 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Levski Sofia II down, FK Minyor Pernik across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,814 Third League - Southwest matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Third League - Southwest matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.3% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Levski Sofia II at home: 0.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). FK Minyor Pernik away: 1.83 scored, 0.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.88 goals for Levski Sofia II, 1.44 for FK Minyor Pernik. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~FKM 1–2 LEV · LEV 0–2 FKM

Form · last six in Third League - Southwest

LEVSKI SOFIA II

LLDWDW1–2 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 0–0 · 2–1

FK MINYOR PERNIK

DWWWWW0–0 · 5–2 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 5–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FK Minyor Pernik	10	+16	23
2	Oborishte	10	+12	22
3	Bansko	10	+8	22
4	Strumska Slava	10	+8	19
5	Septemvri Sofia II	9	+4	16
6	Balkan Botevgrad	10	−1	16
7	Botev Ihtiman	10	+1	15
8	Kostinbrod	10	+1	15
9	Slavia Sofia II	10	+1	12
10	CSKA Sofia III	9	+1	12
11	Levski Sofia II	10	0	12
12	Septemvri Simitli	10	−4	12
13	Slivnishki geroy	10	−4	11
14	Belasitsa	10	−4	10
15	Chavdar Etropole	10	−11	10
16	Kyustendil	10	−6	9
17	Natsional Sofia	10	−6	7
18	Pirin Razlog	10	−16	7