Bansko v Levski Sofia II prediction · Third League

AI match analysis

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Pitchside prediction · postponed

Bansko are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bansko 53%, draw 26%, Levski Sofia II 21%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Bansko v Levski Sofia IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

Bansko win53%

Draw26%

Levski Sofia II win21%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundSouthwest · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bansko

Levski Sofia II

10Days since last match7

Last match: 7 Oct · Third League - Southwest

Last match: 10 Oct · Third League - Southwest

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Bansko	10	+8	22
13	Levski Sofia II	11	−2	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bansko winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Bansko a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bansko v Levski Sofia II~~1.50 – 0.81

~~Form · last six in Third League - Southwest this season · since 29 Aug~~W4 D0 L2 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 22 v 12~~3 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bansko win	53%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Levski Sofia II win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	41%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Bansko or draw	79%	–	–
Bansko clean sheet	45%	–	–
Levski Sofia II clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.0%

0123450 10.2 8.3 3.3 1 15.0 11.7 4.8 2 11.0 8.7 3.6 3 5.6 4.4 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bansko down, Levski Sofia II across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,820 Third League - Southwest matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Third League - Southwest matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.8% of games this season, across 95 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 1.67 goals a meeting; 1 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bansko at home: 2.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Levski Sofia II away: 1.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.50 goals for Bansko, 0.81 for Levski Sofia II. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~1.67

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 6

~~Both scored~~1 of 6

~~Last meetings~~LEV 0–0 BAN · BAN 0–0 LEV · LEV 0–0 BAN · BAN 2–0 LEV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Third League - Southwest this season · since 29 Aug

BANSKO

WLLWWW4–1 · 0–4 · 0–3 · 3–1 · 3–0 · 1–0

LEVSKI SOFIA II

LDWDWL0–1 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FK Minyor Pernik	11	+18	26
2	Oborishte	10	+12	22
3	Bansko	10	+8	22
4	Strumska Slava	10	+8	19
5	Septemvri Sofia II	10	+5	19
6	Balkan Botevgrad	11	0	19
7	Kostinbrod	11	+6	18
8	Botev Ihtiman	10	+1	15
9	Slivnishki geroy	11	−2	14
10	Septemvri Simitli	11	−4	13
11	Slavia Sofia II	10	+1	12
12	CSKA Sofia III	10	0	12
13	Levski Sofia II	11	−2	12
14	Belasitsa	11	−4	11
15	Chavdar Etropole	11	−16	10
16	Kyustendil	10	−6	9
17	Natsional Sofia	11	−8	7
18	Pirin Razlog	11	−17	7