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Sozopol v Levski Krumovgrad

Sozopol

1–2Full time

Levski Krumovgrad

Third League - Southeast · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Sozopol 1–2 Levski Krumovgrad LEVSKI KRUMOVGRAD WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Levski Krumovgrad win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.319

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Sozopol win26%

Draw20%

Levski Krumovgrad win54%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · levski krumovgrad winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Levski Krumovgrad a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sozopol win	26%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Levski Krumovgrad win	54%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Sozopol or draw	46%	–	–
Sozopol clean sheet	15%	–	–
Levski Krumovgrad clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.9%

0123450 4.0 8.1 7.5 5.1 2.8 1 5.5 8.9 8.6 5.6 3.0 2 3.4 5.9 5.4 3.5 3 2.7 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sozopol down, Levski Krumovgrad across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,861 Third League - Southeast matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Third League - Southeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.0% of games this season, across 75 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Sozopol at home: 2.50 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Levski Krumovgrad away: 2.17 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.27 goals for Sozopol, 2.03 for Levski Krumovgrad. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Third League - Southeast

SOZOPOL

WLWDWL3–1 · 0–1 · 4–2 · 0–0 · 3–2 · 2–4

LEVSKI KRUMOVGRAD

WWWWWW3–1 · 4–2 · 2–0 · 6–1 · 4–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Levski Krumovgrad	8	+19	24
2	Maritsa Milevo	9	+10	21
3	Spartak Plovdiv	8	+10	21
4	Sayana Haskovo	8	+9	17
5	Yambol 1915	8	+15	16
6	Gigant Saedinenie	8	+3	13
7	Neftochimic Burgas	8	+3	13
8	Sozopol	9	+2	13
9	Rozova dolina	9	+1	12
10	Rodopa Smolyan	8	−1	11
11	Zagorets	8	−5	10
12	Botev Plovdiv II	8	−2	9
13	Dimitrovgrad	9	−4	8
14	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	8	−11	7
15	Atletik Kuklen	9	−12	7
16	Sekirovo Rakovski	8	−11	5
17	Levski Karlovo	8	−14	3
18	Maritsa Plovdiv	9	−12	2