Sayana Haskovo v Botev Plovdiv II prediction · Third League

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 01:30

Sayana Haskovo 1–1 Botev Plovdiv II SAYANA HASKOVO WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Sayana Haskovo win~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.991

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Sayana Haskovo win56%

Draw21%

Botev Plovdiv II win23%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Sayana Haskovo

Botev Plovdiv II

15Days since last match15

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Sayana Haskovo	8	+9	17
12	Botev Plovdiv II	8	−2	9

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sayana haskovo winPublished 11 Oct 23:32

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Sayana Haskovo a 56% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sayana Haskovo win	56%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Botev Plovdiv II win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Sayana Haskovo or draw	77%	–	–
Sayana Haskovo clean sheet	33%	–	–
Botev Plovdiv II clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.5%

0123450 4.7 5.7 3.1 1 9.2 9.5 5.6 2.2 2 8.4 9.1 5.2 2.1 3 5.5 6.0 3.4 4 2.8 3.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sayana Haskovo down, Botev Plovdiv II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,868 Third League - Southeast matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Third League - Southeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.2% of games this season, across 82 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 6.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sayana Haskovo at home: 2.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Botev Plovdiv II away: 2.00 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.98 goals for Sayana Haskovo, 1.16 for Botev Plovdiv II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~6.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~SAY 4–1 BOT · BOT 3–4 SAY

Form · last six in Third League - Southeast

SAYANA HASKOVO

WLDWWW2–1 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 2–0

BOTEV PLOVDIV II

DLLDDW2–2 · 2–4 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Levski Krumovgrad	9	+20	27
2	Maritsa Milevo	10	+14	24
3	Spartak Plovdiv	9	+12	24
4	Yambol 1915	9	+15	17
5	Sayana Haskovo	8	+9	17
6	Neftochimic Burgas	9	+5	16
7	Rodopa Smolyan	9	+2	14
8	Gigant Saedinenie	8	+3	13
9	Sozopol	10	+1	13
10	Rozova dolina	10	−1	12
11	Zagorets	9	−9	10
12	Botev Plovdiv II	8	−2	9
13	Dimitrovgrad	10	−6	8
14	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	8	−11	7
15	Atletik Kuklen	10	−15	7
16	Sekirovo Rakovski	9	−11	6
17	Maritsa Plovdiv	10	−9	5
18	Levski Karlovo	9	−17	3