Levski Krumovgrad v Sayana Haskovo prediction · Third League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Levski KrumovgradDrawSayana Haskovo

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Levski Krumovgrad 76%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Levski Krumovgrad are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Levski Krumovgrad 76%, draw 14%, Sayana Haskovo 10%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Levski Krumovgrad v Sayana HaskovoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Levski Krumovgrad win76%

Draw14%

Sayana Haskovo win10%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:30

RoundSoutheast · matchday 13

VenueNikola Shterev - Starika Sports Complex

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Levski Krumovgrad

Sayana Haskovo

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Third League - Southeast

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · levski krumovgrad winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

76% The market–

Us76%

We make Levski Krumovgrad a 76% chance to win. The model expects 2.8–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Levski Krumovgrad v Sayana Haskovo~~2.75 – 0.82

~~Form · last six in Third League - Southeast this season · since 19 Sept~~W6 D0 L0 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 36 v 22~~1 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Levski Krumovgrad win	76%	–	–
Draw	14%	–	–
Sayana Haskovo win	10%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Levski Krumovgrad or draw	90%	–	–
Levski Krumovgrad clean sheet	45%	–	–
Sayana Haskovo clean sheet	7%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.6%

0123450 3.1 2.8 1 8.4 6.2 2.7 2 10.6 8.2 3.5 3 9.4 7.2 3.1 4 6.5 4.9 2.1 5 3.8 2.8

under 2% 5% 12%+Levski Krumovgrad down, Sayana Haskovo across0–5 goals a side shown (92.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,892 Third League - Southeast matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Third League - Southeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.2% of games this season, across 106 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Levski Krumovgrad at home: 4.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Sayana Haskovo away: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.75 goals for Levski Krumovgrad, 0.82 for Sayana Haskovo. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~LEV 3–1 SAY · SAY 0–0 LEV · LEV 2–0 SAY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Third League - Southeast this season · since 19 Sept

LEVSKI KRUMOVGRAD

WWWWWW4–0 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 6–0 · 3–2

SAYANA HASKOVO

WWDWLD3–0 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Levski Krumovgrad	12	+28	36
2	Maritsa Milevo	12	+15	28
3	Spartak Plovdiv	11	+13	27
4	Neftochimic Burgas	11	+8	22
5	Sayana Haskovo	12	+8	22
6	Yambol 1915	12	+15	20
7	Rodopa Smolyan	12	0	20
8	Gigant Saedinenie	12	+3	19
9	Sozopol	12	+1	16
10	Rozova dolina	12	0	16
11	Dimitrovgrad	12	+1	14
12	Zagorets	12	−9	14
13	Botev Plovdiv II	12	−5	11
14	Maritsa Plovdiv	11	−8	8
15	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	12	−21	8
16	Atletik Kuklen	11	−16	7
17	Sekirovo Rakovski	12	−14	6
18	Levski Karlovo	12	−19	6