Gigant Saedinenie v Lokomotiv Plovdiv II prediction · Third League

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 01:30

Gigant Saedinenie 3–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv II GIGANT SAEDINENIE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Gigant Saedinenie win~~73%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.111

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Gigant Saedinenie win73%

Draw15%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv II win12%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Gigant Saedinenie

Lokomotiv Plovdiv II

15Days since last match14

0Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Gigant Saedinenie	8	+3	13
14	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	8	−11	7

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gigant saedinenie winPublished 11 Oct 23:32

73% The market–

Us73%

We make Gigant Saedinenie a 73% chance to win. The model expects 2.8–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Gigant Saedinenie win	73%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II win	12%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Gigant Saedinenie or draw	88%	–	–
Gigant Saedinenie clean sheet	39%	–	–
Lokomotiv Plovdiv II clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 8.7%

0123450 3.0 3.3 1 7.5 6.7 3.3 2 8.7 8.1 3.9 3 7.5 6.8 3.2 4 5.3 4.7 2.2 5 3.3 2.9

under 2% 5% 12%+Gigant Saedinenie down, Lokomotiv Plovdiv II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,868 Third League - Southeast matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Third League - Southeast matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.2% of games this season, across 82 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 2.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Gigant Saedinenie at home: 2.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Lokomotiv Plovdiv II away: 0.83 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.83 goals for Gigant Saedinenie, 0.95 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv II. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~LOK 1–1 GIG · GIG 1–4 LOK · GIG 1–2 LOK · LOK 2–2 GIG

Form · last six in Third League - Southeast

GIGANT SAEDINENIE

DWWLWL2–2 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 4–1 · 0–2

LOKOMOTIV PLOVDIV II

LWDLLL1–3 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 3–5 · 0–3 · 0–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Levski Krumovgrad	9	+20	27
2	Maritsa Milevo	10	+14	24
3	Spartak Plovdiv	9	+12	24
4	Yambol 1915	9	+15	17
5	Sayana Haskovo	8	+9	17
6	Neftochimic Burgas	9	+5	16
7	Rodopa Smolyan	9	+2	14
8	Gigant Saedinenie	8	+3	13
9	Sozopol	10	+1	13
10	Rozova dolina	10	−1	12
11	Zagorets	9	−9	10
12	Botev Plovdiv II	8	−2	9
13	Dimitrovgrad	10	−6	8
14	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	8	−11	7
15	Atletik Kuklen	10	−15	7
16	Sekirovo Rakovski	9	−11	6
17	Maritsa Plovdiv	10	−9	5
18	Levski Karlovo	9	−17	3