Yantra Polski Trambesh v Pavlikeni prediction · Third League

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 01:30

Yantra Polski Trambesh 0–2 Pavlikeni YANTRA POLSKI TRAMBESH WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Yantra Polski Trambesh win~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.923

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Yantra Polski Trambesh are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Yantra Polski Trambesh 56%, draw 20%, Pavlikeni 24%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Yantra Polski Trambesh v PavlikeniBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Yantra Polski Trambesh win56%

Draw20%

Pavlikeni win24%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 13:00

RoundNorthwest · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Yantra Polski Trambesh

Pavlikeni

6Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Third League - Northwest

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Yantra Polski Trambesh	8	+9	13
11	Pavlikeni	8	−6	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · yantra polski trambesh winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Yantra Polski Trambesh a 56% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Yantra Polski Trambesh v Pavlikeni~~2.15 – 1.34

~~Form · last six in Third League - Northwest this season · since 29 Aug~~W1 D4 L1 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 13 v 6~~3 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Yantra Polski Trambesh win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Yantra Polski Trambesh win	56%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Pavlikeni win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Yantra Polski Trambesh or draw	76%	–	–
Yantra Polski Trambesh clean sheet	27%	–	–
Pavlikeni clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.0%

0123450 3.0 4.7 2.9 1 7.2 8.4 5.8 2.6 2 7.0 9.0 6.0 2.7 3 5.0 6.4 4.2 4 2.8 3.5 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Yantra Polski Trambesh down, Pavlikeni across0–5 goals a side shown (96.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,028 Third League - Northwest matches up to 22 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Third League - Northwest matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.0% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 5.00 goals a meeting; 9 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Yantra Polski Trambesh at home: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Pavlikeni away: 0.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.15 goals for Yantra Polski Trambesh, 1.34 for Pavlikeni. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~9 of 10

~~Both scored~~8 of 10

~~Last meetings~~PAV 6–2 YAN · YAN 0–2 PAV · PAV 3–2 YAN · YAN 1–2 PAV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Third League - Northwest this season · since 29 Aug

YANTRA POLSKI TRAMBESH

DLDWDD2–2 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 2–2 · 5–5

PAVLIKENI

LLLLLW0–1 · 2–3 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Akademik Svishtov	8	+10	18
2	Lokomotiv Mezdra	8	+9	16
3	Yantra Polski Trambesh	8	+9	13
4	Kom Berkovitsa	8	+3	13
5	Partizan	8	+1	12
6	Etar VT II	8	+6	10
7	Sevlievo	7	+2	10
8	Bdin	7	−2	9
9	OFK Levski	7	−1	8
10	Chavdar Troyan	6	−2	8
11	Pavlikeni	8	−6	6
12	Spartak Pleven II	9	−13	6
13	Juventus Malchika	4	−16	0