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Lokomotiv Mezdra v Spartak Pleven II

Lokomotiv Mezdra
3–2Full time
Spartak Pleven II

Third League - Northwest · THU 22 OCT

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 01:30
Lokomotiv Mezdra 3–2 Spartak Pleven II LOKOMOTIV MEZDRA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT4–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Lokomotiv Mezdra win89%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.019

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Lokomotiv Mezdra are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Lokomotiv Mezdra 89%, draw 7%, Spartak Pleven II 5%. Over 2.5 goals 89%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Lokomotiv Mezdra v Spartak Pleven IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Lokomotiv Mezdra win89%
Draw7%
Spartak Pleven II win5%

Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 13:00

RoundNorthwest · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lokomotiv Mezdra

Spartak Pleven II

12Days since last match5

Last match: 10 Oct · Third League - Northwest

Last match: 17 Oct · Third League - Northwest

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Lokomotiv Mezdra7+813
12Spartak Pleven II8−126

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lokomotiv mezdra winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 18 Oct 02:04 · locked at kick-off
89% The market–
Us89%

We make Lokomotiv Mezdra an 89% chance to win. The model expects 4.6–1.0, and 4–0 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Lokomotiv Mezdra v Spartak Pleven II4.65 – 0.98
Form · last six in Third League - Northwest this season · since 29 AugW3 D3 L0 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 13 v 63 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
85%90% 17 OCT 00:0122 OCT 12:25
Our probability · Lokomotiv Mezdra win

Published at 88%, 89% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Lokomotiv Mezdra win89%––
Draw7%––
Spartak Pleven II win5%––
Over 2.5 goals89%––
Both teams to score60%––
Over 1.5 goals96%––
Over 3.5 goals77%––
Lokomotiv Mezdra or draw95%––
Lokomotiv Mezdra clean sheet39%––
Spartak Pleven II clean sheet2%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 4–0 at 6.3%
0123450 1 2.5 2.3 2 4.7 4.6 2.3 3 6.1 5.9 3.0 4 6.3 5.9 2.9 5 5.4 5.0 2.5
under 2% 5% 12%+Lokomotiv Mezdra down, Spartak Pleven II across0–5 goals a side shown (68.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Third League - Northwest this season · since 29 Aug

LOKOMOTIV MEZDRA

WWDWDD1–0 · 4–0 · 0–0 · 3–0 · 2–2 · 2–2

SPARTAK PLEVEN II

LLLWLD2–4 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 1–0 · 3–9 · 5–5

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Akademik Svishtov8+1018
2Yantra Polski Trambesh8+913
3Lokomotiv Mezdra7+813
4Kom Berkovitsa8+313
5Partizan8+112
6Sevlievo7+210
7Bdin7−29
8OFK Levski6+28
9Chavdar Troyan6−28
10Etar VT II7+37
11Pavlikeni8−66
12Spartak Pleven II8−126
13Juventus Malchika4−160

The competition's standings before kick-off.