Yantra 2019 v Hebar 1918 prediction · Second League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Yantra 2019DrawHebar 1918

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Yantra 2019 57%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Yantra 2019 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Yantra 2019 57%, draw 22%, Hebar 1918 21%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Yantra 2019 v Hebar 1918Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Yantra 2019 win57%

Draw22%

Hebar 1918 win21%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 14

VenueStadion Hristo Botev

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Yantra 2019

Hebar 1918

6Days since last match6

Last match: 23 Oct · the Bulgarian Second League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Hebar 1918	13	+8	20
7	Yantra 2019	13	+2	20

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · yantra 2019 winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

57% The market–

Us57%

We make Yantra 2019 a 57% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Yantra 2019 v Hebar 1918~~1.94 – 1.06

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 6 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 20 v 20~~7 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Yantra 2019 win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Yantra 2019 win	57%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Hebar 1918 win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Yantra 2019 or draw	79%	–	–
Yantra 2019 clean sheet	35%	–	–
Hebar 1918 clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.4%

0123450 5.6 5.3 2.9 1 9.7 10.4 5.4 2 9.3 9.5 5.0 3 6.0 6.1 3.2 4 3.0 3.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Yantra 2019 down, Hebar 1918 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,725 Second League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.4% of games this season, across 114 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.25 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Yantra 2019 at home: 1.67 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Hebar 1918 away: 2.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.94 goals for Yantra 2019, 1.06 for Hebar 1918. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.25

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~HEB 3–2 YAN · YAN 2–2 HEB · HEB 2–0 YAN · YAN 0–2 HEB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 6 Sept

YANTRA 2019

WLLLWD3–0 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 3–3

HEBAR 1918

LWWLWW2–3 · 4–1 · 5–0 · 1–2 · 3–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CSKA Sofia II	13	+14	25
2	Vihren	13	+13	25
3	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	13	+13	25
4	Fratria	12	+7	22
5	Beroe	13	+5	21
6	Hebar 1918	13	+8	20
7	Yantra 2019	13	+2	20
8	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	13	+1	20
9	Rilski Sportist	13	+2	19
10	Marek	13	0	18
11	Nesebar	13	+2	18
12	Spartak Pleven	13	−10	17
13	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	12	−1	17
14	Ludogorets II	11	0	15
15	Sportist Svoge	13	−5	11
16	Montana	12	−11	11
17	Dobrudzha	12	−9	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	13	−31	1