Vihren v Marek

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Vihren win at 60%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Vihren was 60% before kick-off and our model makes it 60% now. 0–0 · 60–24–16
3. 1′KICK-OFF Vihren v Marek
4. 3′A goal for Marek on 3′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 34–26–40
5. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Vihren 0–1 Marek
6. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Vihren win: 60% at kick-off, 34% now
7. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Marek win is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Vihren win 60%)
8. 5′We said Vihren at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 0–1 · 33–26–41
9. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' Vihren win: 60% at kick-off, 30% now
10. 16′We said Vihren at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–27–44
11. 16′🟨 YELLOW · 16' Marek
12. 21′🟨 YELLOW · 21' Marek
13. 28′We said Vihren at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–28–47
14. 30′Vihren score on 30′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 52–32–16
15. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Vihren 1–1 Marek
16. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Vihren win: 60% at kick-off, 52% now
17. 30′THE CALL SWINGS · 30' Vihren win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Marek win 48%)
18. 39′We said Vihren at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 48%. 1–1 · 48–36–16
19. 45′HALF-TIME Vihren 1–1 Marek
20. 45′SECOND HALF Vihren 1–1 Marek
21. 48′We said Vihren at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–41–15
22. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Vihren win: 60% at kick-off, 40% now
23. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Vihren win 43%)
24. 56′We said Vihren at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–46–14
25. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Marek
26. 57′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 1–1 · 39–47–14
27. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Vihren
28. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Vihren win: 60% at kick-off, 30% now
29. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Vihren win: 60% at kick-off, 20% now
30. 78′We said Vihren at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–73–8
31. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Marek
32. 82′We said Vihren at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–81–6
33. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Vihren win: 60% at kick-off, 10% now
34. 86′We said Vihren at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–87–4
35. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Vihren
36. 88′🟥 RED CARD · 88' Marek
37. 90′A red card for Marek on 89′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–1 · 6–92–2
38. 92′We said Vihren at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–95–2
39. FTFULL TIME Vihren 1–1 Marek
40. FTVihren 1–1 Marek · Vihren win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.