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Rilski Sportist v Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Rilski Sportist
0–0Full time
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Second League · SAT 10 OCT · Stadion Iskar

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30
Rilski Sportist 0–0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa RILSKI SPORTIST WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Rilski Sportist win56%
The market said54%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.905
The market’s Brier score0.869

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Rilski Sportist win at 56%.
  2. 3′Little has changed for our model: Rilski Sportist 56% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 56–26–19
  3. 3′KICK-OFF Rilski Sportist v Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
  4. 41′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Rilski Sportist
  5. 45′We said Rilski Sportist at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 42%. 0–0 · 42–41–17
  6. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Rilski Sportist win: 56% at kick-off, 42% now
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Rilski Sportist 0–0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
  8. 48′SECOND HALF Rilski Sportist 0–0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
  9. 55′We said Rilski Sportist at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 37%. 0–0 · 37–48–16
  10. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Rilski Sportist win 37%)
  11. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
  12. 67′🟥 RED CARD · 65' Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
  13. FTFULL TIME Rilski Sportist 0–0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
  14. FTRilski Sportist 0–0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa · Rilski Sportist win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Rilski Sportist win56%
Draw25%
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win19%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

Venue · Stadion Iskar

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Rilski Sportist

Formation not confirmed

12 D. Petkov

6 E. Panov

4 P. Todorov

33 P. Chilikov

13 G. Minkov

14 E. Martinov

20 M. Atanasov

94 Y. Nenov

11 M. Boychev

10 G. Bozhilov

9 I. Dimitrov

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · I. Nedelchev

3 · J. Quihunga

44 · V. Genev

18 · I. Milanov

7 · K. Dokovski

98 · G. Tartov

88 · T. Totev

22 · S. Gyurov

93 · I. Rusinov

8 · M. Mitkov

77 · K. Yosifov

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Formation not confirmed

1 G. Ganev

5 D. Georgiev

11 D. Iliev

3 E. Romanyuk

9 Z. Ivanov

10 I. Avramov

26 M. Ivanov

6 M. Todorski

19 P. Paskov

17 S. Georgiev

16 T. Raykov

Coach · Nikolay Panayotov

Substitutes

12 · K. Milushev

7 · B. Rangelov

20 · Mauro Ribeiro

15 · P. Petrov

8 · T. Matos

27 · Y. Tsachev

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Rilski Sportist

Formation not confirmed

12 D. Petkov

6 E. Panov

4 P. Todorov

33 P. Chilikov

13 G. Minkov

14 E. Martinov

20 M. Atanasov

94 Y. Nenov

11 M. Boychev

10 G. Bozhilov

9 I. Dimitrov

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · I. Nedelchev

3 · J. Quihunga

44 · V. Genev

18 · I. Milanov

7 · K. Dokovski

98 · G. Tartov

88 · T. Totev

22 · S. Gyurov

93 · I. Rusinov

8 · M. Mitkov

77 · K. Yosifov

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Formation not confirmed

1 G. Ganev

5 D. Georgiev

11 D. Iliev

3 E. Romanyuk

9 Z. Ivanov

10 I. Avramov

26 M. Ivanov

6 M. Todorski

19 P. Paskov

17 S. Georgiev

16 T. Raykov

Coach · Nikolay Panayotov

Substitutes

12 · K. Milushev

7 · B. Rangelov

20 · Mauro Ribeiro

15 · P. Petrov

8 · T. Matos

27 · Y. Tsachev

Our number · rilski sportist winPublished 10 Oct 14:16
56% The market54%
Us56%
Market54%

We make Rilski Sportist a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.6–0.8.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 9 OCT 06:1810 OCT 11:17
Our probability · rilski sportist win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 55% to 54% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Rilski Sportist win56%54%+1
Draw25%27%−1
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win19%19%0
Over 2.5 goals42%44%−2
Both teams to score43%46%−2
Over 1.5 goals68%68%0
Over 3.5 goals22%24%−2
Rilski Sportist or draw81%81%0
Rilski Sportist clean sheet45%––
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.6%
0123450 9.7 7.4 3.0 1 14.6 11.5 4.6 2 11.4 8.9 3.6 3 6.1 4.8 4 2.5 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Rilski Sportist down, Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Second League

RILSKI SPORTIST

DWLWWW0–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 1–0

LOKOMOTIV G. ORYAHOVITSA

LWDDWD0–3 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Vihren12+1324
2CSKA Sofia II11+1423
3Fratria12+722
4Chernomorets 1919 Burgas11+1021
5Yantra 201912+219
6Beroe11+418
7Rilski Sportist11+418
8Nesebar11+317
9Etar Veliko Tarnovo11017
10Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa11−116
11Hebar 191811+514
12Marek11−114
13Spartak Pleven11−1113
14Ludogorets II10−112
15Montana11−1011
16Sportist Svoge11−310
17Dobrudzha11−69
18Pirin Blagoevgrad11−290

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.