Montana v Ludogorets II

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Montana win at 47%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Montana was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–27–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Montana v Ludogorets II
4. 7′7′ and it is 0–1: Ludogorets II have scored. 0–1 · 22–25–54
5. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Montana 0–1 Ludogorets II
6. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Montana win: 47% at kick-off, 22% now
7. 7′THE CALL SWINGS · 7' Ludogorets II win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Montana win 22%)
8. 10′We said Montana at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–25–54
9. 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Montana 1–1 Ludogorets II
10. 14′Montana find the net on 13′. 1–1. 1–1 · 45–30–26
11. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Montana win: 47% at kick-off, 45% now
12. 14′THE CALL SWINGS · 14' Montana win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Ludogorets II win 26%)
13. 20′🟨 YELLOW · 20' Montana
14. 30′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Montana
15. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Montana 2–1 Ludogorets II
16. 33′A goal for Montana on 32′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 76–18–6
17. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Montana win: 47% at kick-off, 76% now
18. 35′We published Montana at 47%. Our model now makes it 76%. 2–1 · 76–18–6
19. 37′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 76–18–6
20. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Montana win: 47% at kick-off, 77% now
21. 45′HALF-TIME Montana 2–1 Ludogorets II
22. 46′SECOND HALF Montana 2–1 Ludogorets II
23. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Ludogorets II
24. 55′We published Montana at 47%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–4
25. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Ludogorets II
26. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Montana
27. 59′59′ and it is 2–2: Ludogorets II have scored. 2–2 · 30–51–19
28. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Montana 2–2 Ludogorets II
29. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Montana win: 47% at kick-off, 30% now
30. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Montana win 30%)
31. 60′We said Montana at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–52–19
32. 61′4 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 29–53–18
33. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Montana win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
34. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Montana
35. 74′We said Montana at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–68–13
36. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Montana win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
37. 79′We said Montana at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–76–10
38. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Ludogorets II
39. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Montana 2–3 Ludogorets II
40. 83′Ludogorets II find the net on 82′. 2–3. 2–3 · 1–9–90
41. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Montana win: 47% at kick-off, 1% now
42. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Ludogorets II win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 9%)
43. 84′We said Montana at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 0%. 2–3 · 0–8–91
44. 85′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 0–8–92
45. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Montana
46. FTFULL TIME Montana 2–3 Ludogorets II
47. FTMontana 2–3 Ludogorets II · Montana win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.