Ludogorets II v Dobrudzha prediction · Second League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Ludogorets IIDrawDobrudzha

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Ludogorets II 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ludogorets II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ludogorets II 47%, draw 26%, Dobrudzha 27%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Ludogorets II v DobrudzhaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Ludogorets II win47%

Draw26%

Dobrudzha win27%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 13

VenuePFC Ludogorets 1945 Training Centre

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ludogorets II

Dobrudzha

14Days since last match8

Last match: 13 Oct · the Bulgarian Second League

Last match: 19 Oct · the Bulgarian Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Ludogorets II	11	0	15
17	Dobrudzha	12	−9	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ludogorets ii winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Ludogorets II a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Ludogorets II v Dobrudzha~~1.53 – 1.08

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 29 Aug~~W2 D2 L2 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 15 v 9~~14 v 17

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Ludogorets II win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ludogorets II win	47%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Dobrudzha win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Ludogorets II or draw	73%	–	–
Ludogorets II clean sheet	35%	–	–
Dobrudzha clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%

0123450 8.0 7.9 4.4 1 11.1 12.1 6.4 2.3 2 8.5 8.9 4.8 3 4.4 4.6 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ludogorets II down, Dobrudzha across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,725 Second League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.4% of games this season, across 114 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.62 goals a meeting; 4 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ludogorets II at home: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Dobrudzha away: 1.17 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.53 goals for Ludogorets II, 1.08 for Dobrudzha. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.62

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~DOB 0–0 LUD · LUD 1–1 DOB · LUD 1–1 DOB · DOB 1–0 LUD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 29 Aug

LUDOGORETS II

DLWDLW1–1 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 3–2

DOBRUDZHA

LDLLWL0–2 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CSKA Sofia II	13	+14	25
2	Vihren	13	+13	25
3	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	13	+13	25
4	Fratria	12	+7	22
5	Beroe	13	+5	21
6	Hebar 1918	13	+8	20
7	Yantra 2019	13	+2	20
8	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	13	+1	20
9	Rilski Sportist	13	+2	19
10	Marek	13	0	18
11	Nesebar	13	+2	18
12	Spartak Pleven	13	−10	17
13	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	12	−1	17
14	Ludogorets II	11	0	15
15	Sportist Svoge	13	−5	11
16	Montana	12	−11	11
17	Dobrudzha	12	−9	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	13	−31	1