Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa v Beroe prediction · Second League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaDrawBeroe

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 38%, draw 28%, Beroe 35%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa v BeroeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win38%

Draw28%

Beroe win35%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 15:30

RoundMatchday 14

VenueLokomotiv stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Beroe

7Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · the Bulgarian Second League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Beroe	13	+5	21
8	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	13	+1	20

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lokomotiv g. oryahovitsa winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa v Beroe~~1.26 – 1.20

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 6 Sept~~W2 D4 L0 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 20 v 21~~8 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win	38%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Beroe win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	44%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa or draw	65%	–	–
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa clean sheet	31%	–	–
Beroe clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 9.2 10.1 6.2 2.5 1 10.6 12.9 7.5 3.1 2 6.8 7.9 4.7 3 2.9 3.4 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa down, Beroe across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,725 Second League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.4% of games this season, across 114 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa at home: 1.17 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Beroe away: 1.50 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.26 goals for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa, 1.20 for Beroe. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 6 Sept

LOKOMOTIV G. ORYAHOVITSA

DDWDDW0–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 2–0

BEROE

DWLWLW2–2 · 1–0 · 3–4 · 1–0 · 2–3 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CSKA Sofia II	13	+14	25
2	Vihren	13	+13	25
3	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas	13	+13	25
4	Fratria	12	+7	22
5	Beroe	13	+5	21
6	Hebar 1918	13	+8	20
7	Yantra 2019	13	+2	20
8	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	13	+1	20
9	Rilski Sportist	13	+2	19
10	Marek	13	0	18
11	Nesebar	13	+2	18
12	Spartak Pleven	13	−10	17
13	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	12	−1	17
14	Ludogorets II	11	0	15
15	Sportist Svoge	13	−5	11
16	Montana	12	−11	11
17	Dobrudzha	12	−9	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	13	−31	1