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CSKA Sofia II v Yantra 2019

CSKA Sofia II
3–3Full time
Yantra 2019

Second League · FRI 23 OCT · Stadion Dragalevtsi

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 16:32
CSKA Sofia II 3–3 Yantra 2019 CSKA SOFIA II WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said CSKA Sofia II win52%
The market said50%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.855
The market’s Brier score0.829

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 21 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said CSKA Sofia II win at 52%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: CSKA Sofia II was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–27–22
  3. 1′KICK-OFF CSKA Sofia II v Yantra 2019
  4. 7′We published CSKA Sofia II at 52%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–0 · 78–15–7
  5. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' CSKA Sofia II 1–0 Yantra 2019
  6. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' CSKA Sofia II win: 52% at kick-off, 78% now
  7. 8′A goal for CSKA Sofia II on 7′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 78–15–7
  8. 9′We published CSKA Sofia II at 52%. Our model now makes it 93%. 2–0 · 93–5–2
  9. 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' CSKA Sofia II 2–0 Yantra 2019
  10. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' CSKA Sofia II win: 52% at kick-off, 93% now
  11. 10′CSKA Sofia II score on 10′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 93–5–2
  12. 27′We published CSKA Sofia II at 52%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
  13. 39′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 99–1–0
  14. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' CSKA Sofia II 3–0 Yantra 2019
  15. 40′CSKA Sofia II find the net on 40′. 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
  16. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45' CSKA Sofia II
  17. 45′SECOND HALF CSKA Sofia II 3–0 Yantra 2019
  18. 46′HALF-TIME CSKA Sofia II 3–0 Yantra 2019
  19. 47′We published CSKA Sofia II at 52%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  20. 59′4 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 98–2–0
  21. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' CSKA Sofia II 3–1 Yantra 2019
  22. 60′A goal for Yantra 2019 on 60′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 98–2–0
  23. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Yantra 2019
  24. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Yantra 2019
  25. 75′We published CSKA Sofia II at 52%. Our model now makes it 89%. 3–2 · 89–10–1
  26. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' CSKA Sofia II
  27. 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' CSKA Sofia II 3–2 Yantra 2019
  28. 76′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 90–10–1
  29. 76′Yantra 2019 score on 76′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 90–10–1
  30. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 84' CSKA Sofia II
  31. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Yantra 2019
  32. 90′We said CSKA Sofia II at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 3–3 · 5–93–3
  33. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' CSKA Sofia II 3–3 Yantra 2019
  34. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' CSKA Sofia II win: 52% at kick-off, 5% now
  35. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 93% (was CSKA Sofia II win 97%)
  36. 91′Yantra 2019 find the net on 90′. 3–3. 3–3 · 4–94–2
  37. 92′We said CSKA Sofia II at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 3–3 · 3–95–2
  38. 92′6 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 3–95–2
  39. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' CSKA Sofia II win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
  40. 94′Full time, 3–3. We called CSKA Sofia II at 52% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 3–3 · 0–100–0
  41. FTFULL TIME CSKA Sofia II 3–3 Yantra 2019
  42. FTCSKA Sofia II 3–3 Yantra 2019 · CSKA Sofia II win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

CSKA Sofia II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CSKA Sofia II 52%, draw 26%, Yantra 2019 22%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on CSKA Sofia II v Yantra 2019Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

CSKA Sofia II win52%
Draw26%
Yantra 2019 win22%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 13

VenueStadion Dragalevtsi

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CSKA Sofia II

Yantra 2019

13Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · the Bulgarian Second League

Last match: 16 Oct · the Bulgarian Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1CSKA Sofia II12+1424
6Yantra 201912+219

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cska sofia ii winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
52% The market50%
Us52%
Market50%

We make CSKA Sofia II a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.5–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · CSKA Sofia II v Yantra 20191.51 – 0.88
Form · last six in Second League this season · since 2 SeptW4 D1 L1 · W3 D0 L3
Table places · points 24 v 191 v 6
The market · CSKA Sofia II win50% · ours 52%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 17 OCT 00:0123 OCT 13:38
Our probability · CSKA Sofia II win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
CSKA Sofia II win52%50%+2
Draw26%27%−1
Yantra 2019 win22%23%−1
Over 2.5 goals42%47%−5
Both teams to score45%50%−5
Over 1.5 goals68%71%−3
Over 3.5 goals22%26%−4
CSKA Sofia II or draw78%77%+1
CSKA Sofia II clean sheet42%––
Yantra 2019 clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.7%
0123450 9.8 8.0 3.6 1 13.7 12.1 5.2 2 10.3 8.9 3.9 3 5.2 4.5 4 2.0 5
under 2% 5% 12%+CSKA Sofia II down, Yantra 2019 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting1.50
Over 2.51 of 4
Both scored0 of 4
Last meetingsCSK 0–1 YAN · YAN 0–3 CSK · YAN 2–0 CSK · CSK 0–0 YAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 2 Sept

CSKA SOFIA II

WLWWWD5–1 · 0–1 · 4–0 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 0–0

YANTRA 2019

WWLLLW2–0 · 3–0 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1CSKA Sofia II12+1424
2Vihren12+1324
3Chernomorets 1919 Burgas12+1324
4Fratria12+722
5Rilski Sportist12+419
6Yantra 201912+219
7Nesebar12+318
8Beroe12+318
9Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa12−117
10Hebar 191812+717
11Etar Veliko Tarnovo11017
12Marek12017
13Ludogorets II11015
14Spartak Pleven12−1114
15Montana12−1111
16Sportist Svoge12−510
17Dobrudzha12−99
18Pirin Blagoevgrad12−291

The competition's standings before kick-off.