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CSKA Sofia II v Yantra 2019
CSKA Sofia II
Yantra 2019Second League · FRI 23 OCT · Stadion Dragalevtsi
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said CSKA Sofia II win at 52%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: CSKA Sofia II was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–27–22
- 1′KICK-OFF CSKA Sofia II v Yantra 2019
- 7′We published CSKA Sofia II at 52%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–0 · 78–15–7
- 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' CSKA Sofia II 1–0 Yantra 2019
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' CSKA Sofia II win: 52% at kick-off, 78% now
- 8′A goal for CSKA Sofia II on 7′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 78–15–7
- 9′We published CSKA Sofia II at 52%. Our model now makes it 93%. 2–0 · 93–5–2
- 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' CSKA Sofia II 2–0 Yantra 2019
- 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' CSKA Sofia II win: 52% at kick-off, 93% now
- 10′CSKA Sofia II score on 10′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 93–5–2
- 27′We published CSKA Sofia II at 52%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 39′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' CSKA Sofia II 3–0 Yantra 2019
- 40′CSKA Sofia II find the net on 40′. 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45' CSKA Sofia II
- 45′SECOND HALF CSKA Sofia II 3–0 Yantra 2019
- 46′HALF-TIME CSKA Sofia II 3–0 Yantra 2019
- 47′We published CSKA Sofia II at 52%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 59′4 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' CSKA Sofia II 3–1 Yantra 2019
- 60′A goal for Yantra 2019 on 60′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Yantra 2019
- 66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Yantra 2019
- 75′We published CSKA Sofia II at 52%. Our model now makes it 89%. 3–2 · 89–10–1
- 75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' CSKA Sofia II
- 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' CSKA Sofia II 3–2 Yantra 2019
- 76′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 90–10–1
- 76′Yantra 2019 score on 76′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 90–10–1
- 85′🟨 YELLOW · 84' CSKA Sofia II
- 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Yantra 2019
- 90′We said CSKA Sofia II at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 3–3 · 5–93–3
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' CSKA Sofia II 3–3 Yantra 2019
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' CSKA Sofia II win: 52% at kick-off, 5% now
- 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 93% (was CSKA Sofia II win 97%)
- 91′Yantra 2019 find the net on 90′. 3–3. 3–3 · 4–94–2
- 92′We said CSKA Sofia II at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 3–3 · 3–95–2
- 92′6 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 3–95–2
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' CSKA Sofia II win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
- 94′Full time, 3–3. We called CSKA Sofia II at 52% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 3–3 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME CSKA Sofia II 3–3 Yantra 2019
- FTCSKA Sofia II 3–3 Yantra 2019 · CSKA Sofia II win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
CSKA Sofia II are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: CSKA Sofia II 52%, draw 26%, Yantra 2019 22%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 45%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
CSKA Sofia II win52%
Yantra 2019 win22%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 13
VenueStadion Dragalevtsi
Match timeline
All events
CSKA Sofia IIMIN
Yantra 2019Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
CSKA Sofia II
Yantra 2019
Last match: 10 Oct · the Bulgarian Second League
Last match: 16 Oct · the Bulgarian Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make CSKA Sofia II a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.5–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia II win | 52% | 50% | +2 |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | −1 |
| Yantra 2019 win | 22% | 23% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 47% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 50% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 71% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 26% | −4 |
| CSKA Sofia II or draw | 78% | 77% | +1 |
| CSKA Sofia II clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
| Yantra 2019 clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second League this season · since 2 Sept
CSKA SOFIA II
YANTRA 2019
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia II | 12 | +14 | 24 |
| 2 | Vihren | 12 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 12 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 | Fratria | 12 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 | Rilski Sportist | 12 | +4 | 19 |
| 6 | Yantra 2019 | 12 | +2 | 19 |
| 7 | Nesebar | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 | Beroe | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 12 | −1 | 17 |
| 10 | Hebar 1918 | 12 | +7 | 17 |
| 11 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 11 | 0 | 17 |
| 12 | Marek | 12 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Ludogorets II | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 14 | Spartak Pleven | 12 | −11 | 14 |
| 15 | Montana | 12 | −11 | 11 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 12 | −5 | 10 |
| 17 | Dobrudzha | 12 | −9 | 9 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 12 | −29 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Vihren
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Fratria
Rilski Sportist
Nesebar
Beroe
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Hebar 1918
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Marek
Ludogorets II
Spartak Pleven
Montana
Sportist Svoge
Dobrudzha
Pirin Blagoevgrad