Beroe v Rilski Sportist

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Beroe win at 47%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Beroe was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–27–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Beroe v Rilski Sportist
4. 9′We published Beroe at 47%. Our model now makes it 74%. 1–0 · 74–17–9
5. 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Beroe 1–0 Rilski Sportist
6. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Beroe win: 47% at kick-off, 74% now
7. 10′Beroe score on 10′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 74–17–9
8. 14′We published Beroe at 47%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–17–8
9. 24′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Beroe
10. 26′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Rilski Sportist
11. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 76–18–7
12. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Beroe win: 47% at kick-off, 77% now
13. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Beroe 1–1 Rilski Sportist
14. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Beroe win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
15. 44′Rilski Sportist find the net on 44′. 1–1. 1–1 · 36–41–22
16. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Beroe win 77%)
17. 45′SECOND HALF Beroe 1–1 Rilski Sportist
18. 46′HALF-TIME Beroe 1–1 Rilski Sportist
19. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 47' Rilski Sportist
20. 48′We said Beroe at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–43–22
21. 49′We said Beroe at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–44–21
22. 60′We said Beroe at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–52–19
23. 62′We published Beroe at 47%. Our model now makes it 82%. 2–1 · 82–15–3
24. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Beroe 2–1 Rilski Sportist
25. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Beroe win: 47% at kick-off, 82% now
26. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Beroe win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 54%)
27. 63′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 82–15–2
28. 63′A goal for Beroe on 63′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 82–15–2
29. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Rilski Sportist
30. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Beroe
31. 69′We published Beroe at 47%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
32. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Beroe win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
33. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Rilski Sportist
34. 78′We published Beroe at 47%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
35. 85′We published Beroe at 47%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
36. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Beroe win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
37. 92′We published Beroe at 47%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
38. 92′4 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 100–0–0
39. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Beroe 3–1 Rilski Sportist
40. 93′Beroe score on 90′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
41. 94′Full time, 3–1. We called Beroe at 47% — that one lands. 3–1 · 100–0–0
42. FTFULL TIME Beroe 3–1 Rilski Sportist
43. FTBeroe 3–1 Rilski Sportist · Beroe win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.