Lokomotiv Sofia v Botev Vratsa

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Lokomotiv Sofia win at 48%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Lokomotiv Sofia was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–26–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Lokomotiv Sofia v Botev Vratsa
4. 31′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Lokomotiv Sofia
5. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Lokomotiv Sofia win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
6. 43′We said Lokomotiv Sofia at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 0–1 · 12–26–62
7. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Lokomotiv Sofia 0–1 Botev Vratsa
8. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Lokomotiv Sofia win: 48% at kick-off, 12% now
9. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Botev Vratsa win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Lokomotiv Sofia win 39%)
10. 44′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 12–26–62
11. 45′HALF-TIME Lokomotiv Sofia 0–1 Botev Vratsa
12. 45′SECOND HALF Lokomotiv Sofia 0–1 Botev Vratsa
13. 46′Botev Vratsa find the net on 42′. 0–1. 0–1 · 12–25–63
14. 51′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Lokomotiv Sofia · On: Dimitar Kostadinov · Off: Nicholas Penev
15. 53′We said Lokomotiv Sofia at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–66
16. 55′We said Lokomotiv Sofia at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–47–20
17. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Botev Vratsa
18. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Lokomotiv Sofia win: 48% at kick-off, 33% now
19. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Botev Vratsa win 67%)
20. 56′Botev Vratsa have had 8 attempts to 1 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 32–48–20
21. 59′Ante Aralica scores for Lokomotiv Sofia on 55′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 31–50–19
22. 62′We said Lokomotiv Sofia at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–53–18
23. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Lokomotiv Sofia · On: Adil Taoui · Off: Erol Dost
24. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Botev Vratsa
25. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Lokomotiv Sofia win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
26. 69′We said Lokomotiv Sofia at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–60–15
27. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Kaloyan Kostov · Lokomotiv Sofia
28. 75′We said Lokomotiv Sofia at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–69–12
29. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Lokomotiv Sofia win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
30. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Botev Vratsa
31. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Lokomotiv Sofia · On: Ivan Yordanov · Off: Mohamed Medfai
32. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Botev Vratsa · On: Martin Smolenski · Off: Jose Gallegos
33. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Lokomotiv Sofia win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
34. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Botev Vratsa · On: Kassim Hadji · Off: Vladislav Naydenov
35. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Botev Vratsa · On: Martin·Achkov · Off: Sainey Sanyang
36. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Botev Vratsa · On: Filip gigov · Off: Martin Detelinov Petkov
37. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Lokomotiv Sofia · On: Bozhidar Katsarov · Off: Kaloyan Kostov
38. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Lokomotiv Sofia · On: Joyce Kati Katulondi · Off: Ante Aralica
39. 91′We said Lokomotiv Sofia at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
40. FTFULL TIME Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Botev Vratsa
41. FTLokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Botev Vratsa · Lokomotiv Sofia win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.