Pirin Blagoevgrad v Hebar 1918
Pirin BlagoevgradHebar 1918Cup · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Hebar 1918 win at 45%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Hebar 1918 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 32–23–45
- 1′KICK-OFF Pirin Blagoevgrad v Hebar 1918
- 28′Hebar 1918 score on 28′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 12–19–69
- 28′We said Hebar 1918 at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 0–1 · 12–19–69
- 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Pirin Blagoevgrad 0–1 Hebar 1918
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Hebar 1918 win: 45% at kick-off, 69% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 0–1 · 11–19–69
- 31′Pirin Blagoevgrad find the net on 31′. 1–1. 1–1 · 30–29–40
- 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–1 Hebar 1918
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Hebar 1918 win: 45% at kick-off, 40% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–1 Hebar 1918
- 46′SECOND HALF Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–1 Hebar 1918
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Hebar 1918 win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Hebar 1918 win 34%)
- 55′We said Hebar 1918 at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 26–40–33
- 60′A goal for Hebar 1918 on 60′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 6–19–75
- 60′We said Hebar 1918 at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–2 · 6–19–75
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–2 Hebar 1918
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Hebar 1918 win: 45% at kick-off, 75% now
- 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Hebar 1918 win is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Draw 19%)
- 70′We said Hebar 1918 at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
- 77′We said Hebar 1918 at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–2 · 2–14–85
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Hebar 1918 win: 45% at kick-off, 85% now
- 83′We said Hebar 1918 at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–2 · 1–9–90
- 87′Hebar 1918 score on 86′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- 87′We said Hebar 1918 at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- 87′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- 87′⚽ GOAL · 86' Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–3 Hebar 1918
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Hebar 1918 win: 45% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 90′Hebar 1918 find the net on 90′. 1–4. 1–4 · 0–0–100
- 90′5 goals already, more than the 3.3 we expected for the whole match. 1–4 · 0–0–100
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–4 Hebar 1918
- FTFULL TIME Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–4 Hebar 1918
- FTPirin Blagoevgrad 1–4 Hebar 1918 · Hebar 1918 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassHebar 1918 are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Pirin Blagoevgrad 32%, draw 23%, Hebar 1918 45%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 64%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Pirin Blagoevgrad win32%Hebar 1918 win45%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00
RoundRound of 32
Match timeline
All events
Pirin BlagoevgradMINHebar 1918Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Hebar 1918
Last match: 10 Oct · the Bulgarian Second League
Last match: 10 Oct · the Bulgarian Second League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Hebar 1918 a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Blagoevgrad win | 32% | – | – |
| Draw | 23% | – | – |
| Hebar 1918 win | 45% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 64% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | – | – |
| Pirin Blagoevgrad or draw | 55% | – | – |
| Pirin Blagoevgrad clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
| Hebar 1918 clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Cup this season · since 4 Oct
PIRIN BLAGOEVGRAD
HEBAR 1918