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Neftochimic Burgas v CSKA 1948

Neftochimic Burgas
0–4Full time
CSKA 1948

Cup · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 15:31
Neftochimic Burgas 0–4 CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT0–3 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said CSKA 1948 win90%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.015

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said CSKA 1948 win at 90%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: CSKA 1948 was 90% before kick-off and our model makes it 90% now. 0–0 · 2–7–90
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Neftochimic Burgas v CSKA 1948
  4. 6′A goal for CSKA 1948 on 6′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 0–2–97
  5. 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Neftochimic Burgas 0–1 CSKA 1948
  6. 7′CSKA 1948 score on 7′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  7. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Neftochimic Burgas 0–2 CSKA 1948
  8. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' CSKA 1948 win: 90% at kick-off, over 99% now
  9. 30′CSKA 1948 find the net on 30′. 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  10. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Neftochimic Burgas 0–3 CSKA 1948
  11. 44′A goal for CSKA 1948 on 44′ — 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  12. 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Neftochimic Burgas 0–4 CSKA 1948
  13. 45′4 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  14. 45′HALF-TIME Neftochimic Burgas 0–4 CSKA 1948
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Neftochimic Burgas 0–4 CSKA 1948
  16. FTFULL TIME Neftochimic Burgas 0–4 CSKA 1948
  17. FTNeftochimic Burgas 0–4 CSKA 1948 · CSKA 1948 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 0–3 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

CSKA 1948 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Neftochimic Burgas 2%, draw 7%, CSKA 1948 90%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 34%.

The AI’s read on Neftochimic Burgas v CSKA 1948Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Neftochimic Burgas win2%
Draw7%
CSKA 1948 win90%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 13:00

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Neftochimic Burgas

CSKA 1948

6Days since last match5

Last match: 10 Oct · Third League - Southeast

Last match: 11 Oct · the Bulgarian First League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cska 1948 winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 12 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off
90% The market–
Us90%

We make CSKA 1948 a 90% chance to win. The model expects 0.4–3.3, and 0–3 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Neftochimic Burgas v CSKA 19480.43 – 3.31

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
85%90%95% 10 OCT 04:0216 OCT 12:52
Our probability · CSKA 1948 win

Published at 91%, 90% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Neftochimic Burgas win2%––
Draw7%––
CSKA 1948 win90%––
Over 2.5 goals72%––
Both teams to score34%––
Over 1.5 goals89%––
Over 3.5 goals51%––
Neftochimic Burgas or draw10%––
Neftochimic Burgas clean sheet4%––
CSKA 1948 clean sheet65%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–3 at 14.4%
0123450 2.5 7.7 13.0 14.4 11.9 7.91 3.5 5.6 6.2 5.1 3.42 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Neftochimic Burgas down, CSKA 1948 across0–5 goals a side shown (88.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 4 Oct

NEFTOCHIMIC BURGAS

D1–1

CSKA 1948

No matches in our record yet.