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Akademik Svishtov v Slavia Sofia

Akademik Svishtov
0–3Full time
Slavia Sofia

Cup · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10
Akademik Svishtov 0–3 Slavia Sofia SLAVIA SOFIA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Slavia Sofia win49%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.392

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Slavia Sofia are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Akademik Svishtov 19%, draw 31%, Slavia Sofia 49%. Over 2.5 goals 28%, both teams to score 33%.

The AI’s read on Akademik Svishtov v Slavia SofiaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Akademik Svishtov win19%
Draw31%
Slavia Sofia win49%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Akademik Svishtov

Slavia Sofia

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Third League - Northwest

Last match: 10 Oct · the Bulgarian First League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · slavia sofia winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 14 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
49% The market–
Us49%

We make Slavia Sofia a 49% chance to win. The model expects 0.6–1.2, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Akademik Svishtov v Slavia Sofia0.64 – 1.20

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 11 OCT 04:0917 OCT 12:29
Our probability · Slavia Sofia win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Akademik Svishtov win19%––
Draw31%––
Slavia Sofia win49%––
Over 2.5 goals28%––
Both teams to score33%––
Over 1.5 goals55%––
Over 3.5 goals12%––
Akademik Svishtov or draw51%––
Akademik Svishtov clean sheet30%––
Slavia Sofia clean sheet53%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 18.7%
0123450 16.3 18.7 11.5 4.6 1 9.7 12.6 7.3 2.9 2 3.2 3.9 2.3 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Akademik Svishtov down, Slavia Sofia across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 4 Oct

AKADEMIK SVISHTOV

W3–0

SLAVIA SOFIA

No matches in our record yet.