Sport Recife v Criciuma

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sport Recife win at 45%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Sport Recife 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–29–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Sport Recife v Criciuma
4. 29′Criciuma have had 9 attempts to 3 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 39–37–24
5. 35′12 shots for Criciuma, 4 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 38–39–23
6. 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Sport Recife win 38%)
7. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Sport Recife win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
8. 45′HALF-TIME Sport Recife 0–0 Criciuma
9. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Sport Recife · On: Edson Lucas Pereira · Off: Clayson Henrique da Silva Vieira
10. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Sport Recife · On: Augusto Pucci De Freitas · Off: Claudinho
11. 45′SECOND HALF Sport Recife 0–0 Criciuma
12. 47′We said Sport Recife at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 33–45–21
13. 57′We said Sport Recife at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–52–19
14. 58′Criciuma have had 17 attempts to 8 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 28–53–19
15. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Sport Recife · On: Fernando Sobral · Off: Diego·Hernandez
16. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Sport Recife · On: Neto Pessoa · Off: Pedro Henrique Perotti
17. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Criciuma · On: Nicolas Godinho Johann · Off: Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva
18. 65′We said Sport Recife at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–60–16
19. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Sport Recife win: 45% at kick-off, 24% now
20. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Criciuma · On: Waguininho · Off: Rómulo Otero
21. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Criciuma · On: Bruno Alves · Off: César Martins
22. 72′We said Sport Recife at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–68–13
23. 76′We said Sport Recife at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 1–0 · 89–10–1
24. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Sport Recife 1–0 Criciuma
25. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Sport Recife win: 45% at kick-off, 89% now
26. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Sport Recife win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 73%)
27. 77′76′: Chrystian Amaral Barletta de Almeida on the scoresheet for Sport Recife, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 90–10–1
28. 78′We said Sport Recife at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
29. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Criciuma · On: Guilherme Teixeira Lobo · Off: Fellipe Mateus Corrected
30. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Criciuma · On: Romarinho · Off: Rodrigo Fagundes
31. 84′We said Sport Recife at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
32. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Sport Recife win: 45% at kick-off, 95% now
33. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Willean Bernardo · Criciuma
34. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Sport Recife · On: José Gabriel dos Santos Silva · Off: Patrick de Paula Carreiro
35. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Romarinho · Criciuma
36. 90′2–1 at the end. Our 45% on Sport Recife comes in. 2–1 · 100–0–0
37. 93′Criciuma level it on 90′ through Fellipe Mateus. 1–1. 1–1 · 2–96–1 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
38. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Sport Recife 1–1 Criciuma · Fellipe Mateus (assist Waguininho)
39. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Sport Recife win: 45% at kick-off, 2% now
40. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Sport Recife win 99%)
41. 94′We said Sport Recife at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 1–1 · 1–98–1 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
42. 96′Criciuma have had 21 attempts to 13 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 1–98–1 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
43. 97′The goal count is tracking the 2.2 we expected. 1–1 · 1–98–1 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
44. 99′24 shots for Criciuma, 13 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 1–98–1 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
45. 99′3 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 99–1–0
46. 99′⚽ GOAL · 90+9' Sport Recife 2–1 Criciuma
47. 99′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+9' Sport Recife win: 45% at kick-off, 99% now
48. 99′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+9' Sport Recife win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 98%)
49. 100′Chrystian Amaral Barletta de Almeida scores for Sport Recife on 90′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 99–1–0
50. 100′🟨 YELLOW · 90+9' Guilherme Teixeira Lobo · Criciuma
51. FTFULL TIME Sport Recife 2–1 Criciuma
52. FTSport Recife 2–1 Criciuma · Sport Recife win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.