Ponte Preta v Atletico Goianiense

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Atletico Goianiense win at 53%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Atletico Goianiense was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 21–26–53
3. 1′KICK-OFF Ponte Preta v Atletico Goianiense
4. 18′🟨 YELLOW · 9' Sergio Palacios · Ponte Preta
5. 22′7 shots for Atletico Goianiense, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 21–32–48
6. 24′9 shots for Atletico Goianiense, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 21–32–47
7. 28′Atletico Goianiense have had 12 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 20–34–46
8. 33′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Junior Barreto · Atletico Goianiense
9. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Atletico Goianiense win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
10. 39′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Danilo Barcelos · Ponte Preta
11. 42′We said Atletico Goianiense at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 0–0 · 19–40–41
12. 43′David da Hora scores for Ponte Preta on 43′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 59–27–13
13. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Ponte Preta 1–0 Atletico Goianiense · David da Hora
14. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Atletico Goianiense win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
15. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Ponte Preta win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Atletico Goianiense win 13%)
16. 44′We said Atletico Goianiense at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–0 · 60–27–13
17. 45′David da Hora scores for Ponte Preta on 42′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 60–27–13
18. 45′HALF-TIME Ponte Preta 1–0 Atletico Goianiense
19. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Atletico Goianiense · On: Matheuzinho · Off: Guilherme Costa Marques
20. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Atletico Goianiense · On: Bruno José · Off: Leandro Vilela
21. 46′Atletico Goianiense have had 16 attempts to 2 and it is still 1–0. 1–0 · 61–27–12
22. 46′SECOND HALF Ponte Preta 1–0 Atletico Goianiense
23. 47′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 61–27–12
24. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes · Atletico Goianiense
25. 54′We said Atletico Goianiense at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 65–26–9
26. 61′Atletico Goianiense have had 22 attempts to 5 and it is still 1–0. 1–0 · 69–24–7
27. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Ponte Preta · On: Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade · Off: Karl Cachoeira Della Vedova Júnior
28. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Atletico Goianiense · On: João Pedro · Off: Ewerthon Diogenes da Silva
29. 68′We said Atletico Goianiense at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 74–22–4
30. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Atletico Goianiense win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
31. 74′25 shots for Atletico Goianiense, 5 the other way, and they still trail 1–0. 1–0 · 79–18–3
32. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade · Ponte Preta
33. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Ponte Preta · On: Emanuell Silva Ferreira · Off: David da Hora
34. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Atletico Goianiense · On: Yuri Henrique Da Silveira Alves · Off: Guilherme Lopes Corrected
35. 83′Atletico Goianiense have had 28 attempts to 7 and it is still 1–0. 1–0 · 90–10–1
36. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Yuri Henrique Da Silveira Alves · Atletico Goianiense
37. 88′87′: João Pedro on the scoresheet for Atletico Goianiense, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 3–90–6
38. 88′⚽ GOAL · 87' Ponte Preta 1–1 Atletico Goianiense · João Pedro
39. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Draw is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Ponte Preta win 3%)
40. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Ponte Preta · On: Juan Rodrigues Leopoldino · Off: Danilo
41. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Ponte Preta · On: Diego Monteiro Leao · Off: Gustavo Telles
42. 92′Atletico Goianiense have had 32 attempts to 7 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 2–95–3
43. 94′A red card for Ponte Preta on 90′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–1 · 1–97–2
44. 94′🟥 RED CARD · 90+3' Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade · Ponte Preta
45. FTFULL TIME Ponte Preta 1–1 Atletico Goianiense
46. FTPonte Preta 1–1 Atletico Goianiense · Atletico Goianiense win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.