CRB v Botafogo SP

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said CRB win at 56%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: CRB was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–24–20
3. 1′KICK-OFF CRB v Botafogo SP
4. 20′PENALTY · 20' Botafogo SP
5. 24′PENALTY MISSED · 22' Rafael Gava · Botafogo SP
6. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' CRB win: 56% at kick-off, 46% now
7. 41′We said CRB at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–37–19
8. 45′HALF-TIME CRB 0–0 Botafogo SP
9. 45′SECOND HALF CRB 0–0 Botafogo SP
10. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Matheus Simonete Bressanelli · CRB
11. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Gabriel de Souza Inocencio · Botafogo SP
12. 52′We said CRB at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–43–18
13. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was CRB win 39%)
14. 55′We expected about 2.6 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 38–45–17
15. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Thiago Fernandes Rodrigues · CRB
16. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' CRB win: 56% at kick-off, 36% now
17. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Darlan Batista Cobo Da Silva · Botafogo SP
18. 60′We said CRB at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–49–16
19. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Patrick Brey · Botafogo SP
20. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Botafogo SP · On: Hebert Willian Badaro Oliveira · Off: Darlan Batista Cobo Da Silva
21. 66′CRB have had 10 attempts to 5 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 30–56–14
22. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 66' CRB · On: Vinicius Barata · Off: Thiago Fernandes Rodrigues Corrected
23. 67′We said CRB at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–57–14
24. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Diogo Hereda da Silva · CRB
25. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' CRB win: 56% at kick-off, 26% now
26. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Botafogo SP · On: Felipe Vieira Augusto · Off: José Hugo Sousa dos Santos
27. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Botafogo SP · On: Thiago Henrique Moraes · Off: Rafael Gava
28. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Botafogo SP · On: Matheus Sales · Off: Marco Antonio de Freitas Batistussi
29. 73′We said CRB at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–65–12
30. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' CRB · On: Kevin · Off: Diogo Hereda da Silva
31. 76′13 shots for CRB, 5 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 20–69–10
32. 77′We said CRB at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–71–10
33. 80′79′: Hygor on the scoresheet for Botafogo SP. 0–0 · 16–76–8
34. 80′We said CRB at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 0–1 · 1–14–84
35. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' CRB win: 56% at kick-off, 16% now
36. 80′⚽ GOAL · 79' CRB 0–1 Botafogo SP · Hygor
37. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' CRB win: 56% at kick-off, 1% now
38. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Botafogo SP win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 14%)
39. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' CRB · On: Estevão Barreto de Oliveira · Off: Daniel Sampaio Simões
40. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' CRB · On: Ygor Catatau · Off: Mikael
41. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 80' CRB · On: Geovane · Off: Pedro Castro
42. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Vinicius Barata · CRB
43. 89′17 shots for CRB, 8 the other way, and they still trail 0–1. 0–1 · 0–6–94
44. 90′Full time, 0–1. We called CRB at 56% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–1 · 0–0–100
45. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Botafogo SP · On: Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição · Off: Leandro Maciel
46. FTFULL TIME CRB 0–1 Botafogo SP
47. FTCRB 0–1 Botafogo SP · CRB win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.