Ceara v Juventude

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ceara win at 37%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Ceara 37% before kick-off, 36% now. 0–0 · 36–31–33
3. 1′KICK-OFF Ceara v Juventude
4. 23′SUBSTITUTION · 22' Ceara · On: Lenny Ivo Lobato Romanelli · Off: Julio Cesar
5. 26′THE CALL SWINGS · 26' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Ceara win 33%)
6. 35′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Safira · Juventude
7. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Ceara · On: Vinícius · Off: Renzo López
8. 50′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Éder · Ceara
9. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Ceara win: 37% at kick-off, 26% now
10. 53′We said Ceara at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 0–0 · 25–51–23
11. 56′We said Ceara at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–53–22
12. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Messias Rodrigues da Silva Júnior · Juventude
13. 66′We said Ceara at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–62–18
14. 68′We said Ceara at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 0–1 · 2–16–82
15. 68′68′: Raí da Silva Pessanha on the scoresheet for Juventude, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 2–16–82
16. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Ceara 0–1 Juventude
17. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Ceara win: 37% at kick-off, 2% now
18. 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Juventude win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 16%)
19. 72′The goal count is tracking the 2.0 we expected. 1–1 · 16–69–15
20. 72′Ceara level it on 70′ through Saulo Mineiro. 1–1. 1–1 · 16–69–15
21. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Ceara 1–1 Juventude
22. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Ceara win: 37% at kick-off, 16% now
23. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Juventude win 15%)
24. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Maurício Nogueira Barbieri · Juventude
25. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Juventude · On: Lucas Alves · Off: Fabio lima
26. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Juventude · On: Juan · Off: Marcos Paulo
27. 76′We said Ceara at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–75–12
28. 79′Gabriel Pires scores for Juventude on 78′. 1–1 · 11–79–10
29. 83′3 goals already, more than the 2.0 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 0–7–93
30. 83′⚽ GOAL · 78' Ceara 1–2 Juventude · Gabriel Pires (assist Raí da Silva Pessanha)
31. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Ceara win: 37% at kick-off, under 1% now
32. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Juventude win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 7%)
33. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Juventude · On: Gabriel Barbosa Pinheiro · Off: Messias Rodrigues da Silva Júnior
34. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Juventude · On: Lucas Mineiro · Off: Safira
35. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Ceara · On: Matheus Araujo · Off: Vinicius Zanocelo
36. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Ceara · On: Rian Santana · Off: Enzo Lodovico
37. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Juventude · On: Alan Kardec · Off: Raí da Silva Pessanha
38. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Ceara · On: Lucca Holanda Sampaio Tavares · Off: Lenny Ivo Lobato Romanelli
39. 104′PENALTY · 90+10' Ceara
40. 105′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.0 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 1–98–1
41. 105′⚽ GOAL · 90+15' Ceara 2–2 Juventude
42. 105′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+15' Draw is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Juventude win 1%)
43. 107′90′: Saulo Mineiro on the scoresheet for Ceara, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 1–98–1
44. 108′🟨 YELLOW · 90+17' Saulo Mineiro · Ceara
45. FTFULL TIME Ceara 2–2 Juventude
46. FTCeara 2–2 Juventude · Ceara win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.