Avai v Athletic Club

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Avai win at 46%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Avai was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–27–27
3. 1′KICK-OFF Avai v Athletic Club
4. 8′🟨 YELLOW · 7' João Vitor · Avai
5. 8′🟨 YELLOW · 7' José Carlos Cracco Neto · Athletic Club
6. 31′🟨 YELLOW · 31' João Miguel · Athletic Club
7. 34′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Douglas da Silva Teixeira · Avai
8. 37′7 shots for Avai, 1 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 38–38–24
9. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Avai win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
10. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Avai win 36%)
11. 44′11 shots for Avai, 1 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 36–41–23
12. 45′HALF-TIME Avai 0–0 Athletic Club
13. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Avai · On: Felipe Vizeu · Off: Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira
14. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Wenderson · Avai
15. 46′SECOND HALF Avai 0–0 Athletic Club
16. 47′Avai have had 12 attempts to 1 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 35–43–22
17. 48′We said Avai at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–44–22
18. 59′We said Avai at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–52–19
19. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Avai win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
20. 67′We said Avai at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–60–16
21. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Avai · On: Paulo Vitor · Off: Luiz Henrique
22. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Athletic Club · On: Wilinton Aponza Carabali · Off: Carlos Moisés de Lima
23. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Avai · On: Rildo Goncalves de Amorin Filho · Off: Wenderson
24. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Athletic Club · On: Dixon Vera · Off: Yago Santos de Andrade
25. 72′Avai have had 16 attempts to 3 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 20–66–14
26. 74′We said Avai at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–68–13
27. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Avai win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
28. 79′We said Avai at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–76–10
29. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Athletic Club · On: Pedro Henrique de Oliveira · Off: Kauan Rodrigues da Silva
30. 82′Avai have had 20 attempts to 3 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 11–82–7
31. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Avai · On: Wallison · Off: João Vitor
32. 84′We said Avai at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 8–86–6
33. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Athletic Club · On: Yarlen Faustino Augusto · Off: Maswel Ananias Silva
34. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Athletic Club · On: Enzo Henrique dos Santos · Off: José Carlos Cracco Neto
35. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Avai win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
36. 90′We said Avai at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
37. 90′Full time, 0–0. We called Avai at 46% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–0 · 0–100–0
38. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Avai · On: William · Off: Douglas da Silva Teixeira
39. 92′Avai have had 24 attempts to 3 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 3–95–2
40. FTFULL TIME Avai 0–0 Athletic Club
41. FTAvai 0–0 Athletic Club · Avai win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.