Home › Football › Serie A › Vasco DA Gama v Remo

Vasco DA Gama v Remo

Vasco DA Gama

0–0Full time

Remo

Serie A · SAT 10 OCT · São Januário

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 00:30

Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Remo VASCO DA GAMA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Vasco DA Gama win~~53%

~~The market said~~72%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.918

~~The market’s Brier score~~1.212

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 20 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Vasco DA Gama win at 53%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Vasco DA Gama 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–24–23
1′KICK-OFF Vasco DA Gama v Remo
20′🟨 YELLOW · 20' Zé Ivaldo · Remo
45′SECOND HALF Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Remo
46′SECOND HALF Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Remo
47′SECOND HALF Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Remo
48′SECOND HALF Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Remo
50′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Vasco DA Gama · On: Nuno Moreira · Off: Facundo Colidio Corrected
55′SUBSTITUTION · 51' Vasco DA Gama · On: Nuno Moreira · Off: Facundo Colidio
58′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Remo · On: Mayk Van Van · Off: Marlon
61′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Remo · On: Mayk Van Van · Off: Marlon
64′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Vasco DA Gama · On: Ramon Rique Santos De Souza Barros · Off: Jose Luis Rodriguez Corrected
64′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Vasco DA Gama · On: Claudio Spinelli · Off: David
65′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Vasco DA Gama · On: Cuiabano · Off: Alan Lescano
72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Remo · On: Leonel Picco · Off: Ze Ricardo
72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Remo · On: Jandir Breno Souza Silva · Off: Eduardo Melo
74′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Jair · Vasco DA Gama
80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Vasco DA Gama · On: Santiago Sosa · Off: Jair
84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Remo · On: Matheus Alexandre · Off: Glaybson Yago Souza Lisboa
94′🟨 YELLOW · 94' Marcelo Rangel · Remo
FTFULL TIME Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Remo
FTVasco DA Gama 0–0 Remo · Vasco DA Gama win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Vasco DA Gama win53%

Draw24%

Remo win23%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 22:00

Venue · São Januário

Referee · Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Vasco DA Gama

4-2-3-1

1 Léo Jardim

2 Puma Rodríguez

4 Alan Saldivia

30 Robert Renan

6 Lucas Piton

8 Jair

23 Thiago Mendes

11 Andrés Gómez

22 Alan Lescano

9 Facundo Colidio

7 David

Coach · –

Substitutes

17 · Nuno Moreira

66 · Cuiabano

83 · Ramon Rique

77 · Claudio Spinelli

5 · Santiago Sosa

13 · Daniel Fuzato

96 · Paulo Henrique

55 · Gabriel Pereira

43 · Lucas Freitas

18 · Marino Hinestroza

3 · Tchê Tchê

28 · Adson

Remo

5-4-1

88 Marcelo Rangel

79 Marcelinho

13 Marllon

28 Zé Welison

27 Zé Ivaldo

6 Marlon Lopes

22 Yago Pikachu

55 Zé Ricardo

8 Patrick

19 Gabriel Taliari

39 Eduardo Melo

Coach · –

Substitutes

77 · Mayk

26 · David Braga

14 · Leonel Picco

7 · Jajá

2 · Matheus Alexandre

94 · Ygor Vinhas

97 · Ivan

15 · Vitor Bueno

10 · Jáderson

20 · Andres Gonzalez

61 · Tico

9 · Gabriel Poveda

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Vasco DA Gama

4-2-3-1

1 Léo Jardim

2 Puma Rodríguez

4 Alan Saldivia

30 Robert Renan

6 Lucas Piton

8 Jair

23 Thiago Mendes

11 Andrés Gómez

22 Alan Lescano

9 Facundo Colidio

7 David

Coach · –

Substitutes

17 · Nuno Moreira

66 · Cuiabano

83 · Ramon Rique

77 · Claudio Spinelli

5 · Santiago Sosa

13 · Daniel Fuzato

96 · Paulo Henrique

55 · Gabriel Pereira

43 · Lucas Freitas

18 · Marino Hinestroza

3 · Tchê Tchê

28 · Adson

Remo

5-4-1

88 Marcelo Rangel

79 Marcelinho

13 Marllon

28 Zé Welison

27 Zé Ivaldo

6 Marlon Lopes

22 Yago Pikachu

55 Zé Ricardo

8 Patrick

19 Gabriel Taliari

39 Eduardo Melo

Coach · –

Substitutes

77 · Mayk

26 · David Braga

14 · Leonel Picco

7 · Jajá

2 · Matheus Alexandre

94 · Ygor Vinhas

97 · Ivan

15 · Vitor Bueno

10 · Jáderson

20 · Andres Gonzalez

61 · Tico

9 · Gabriel Poveda

Our number · vasco da gama winPublished 10 Oct 22:04

53% The market72%

Us53%

~~Market~~72%

We make Vasco DA Gama a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 72%. We are 19 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · vasco da gama win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 72% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vasco DA Gama win	53%	72%	−19
Draw	24%	18%	+6
Remo win	23%	10%	+13
Over 2.5 goals	54%	61%	−7
Both teams to score	55%	50%	+5
Over 1.5 goals	78%	81%	−3
Over 3.5 goals	32%	40%	−8
Vasco DA Gama or draw	77%	90%	−13
Vasco DA Gama clean sheet	34%	–	–
Remo clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 6.1 6.2 3.4 1 10.1 11.2 5.9 2.2 2 9.0 9.6 5.2 3 5.3 5.7 3.1 4 2.4 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Vasco DA Gama down, Remo across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number7 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 2,189 Serie A matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Serie A matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.9% of games this season, across 289 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Vasco DA Gama at home: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Remo away: 1.17 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.77 goals for Vasco DA Gama, 1.08 for Remo. Most likely score 1–1.

Line-ups

Confirmed 10 Oct 21:30. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~REM 1–1 VAS

Form · last six in Serie A

VASCO DA GAMA

LWLWWW1–4 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 5–0 · 2–1

REMO

LLLLLD1–2 · 2–3 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 1–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Flamengo	29	+32	61
2	Palmeiras	29	+27	60
3	Fluminense	29	+12	51
4	Atletico Paranaense	29	+11	50
5	Cruzeiro	29	+4	48
6	Bahia	29	+7	46
7	Atletico-MG	29	+5	44
8	Santos	29	+2	42
9	Coritiba	29	−10	38
10	RB Bragantino	29	+1	37
11	Sao Paulo	29	−1	36
12	Vitoria	29	−10	36
13	Botafogo	29	−5	35
14	Vasco DA Gama	28	−6	34
15	Mirassol	29	−9	33
16	Corinthians	29	−4	32
17	Internacional	29	−5	31
18	Gremio	29	−8	30
19	Remo	29	−15	24
20	Chapecoense-sc	28	−28	18