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Remo v RB Bragantino

Remo
1–1Full time
RB Bragantino

Serie A · SUN 18 OCT · Estádio Evandro Almeida

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 02:02
Remo 1–1 RB Bragantino REMO WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Remo win40%
The market said30%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.802
The market’s Brier score0.822

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 34 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Remo win at 40%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Remo v RB Bragantino
  3. 2′Much as we predicted: Remo was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–27–33
  4. 10′We said Remo at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–22–61
  5. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Remo 0–1 RB Bragantino
  6. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 10' Remo win: 40% at kick-off, 17% now
  7. 10′THE CALL SWINGS · 10' RB Bragantino win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Remo win 17%)
  8. 11′Lucas Henrique Barbosa scores for RB Bragantino on 10′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 16–22–61
  9. 23′We said Remo at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–63
  10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 13–23–65
  11. 35′We said Remo at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 0–2 · 3–9–89
  12. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Remo 0–2 RB Bragantino
  13. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Remo win: 40% at kick-off, 3% now
  14. 37′Lucas Henrique Barbosa scores for RB Bragantino on 36′. 0–1 · 11–23–66
  15. 37′GOAL DISALLOWED · 37' RB Bragantino
  16. 44′We said Remo at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–68
  17. 45′HALF-TIME Remo 0–1 RB Bragantino
  18. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Remo · On: Jandir Breno Souza Silva · Off: David Francisco·Trindade Braga
  19. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Remo · On: Eduardo Melo · Off: José Welison
  20. 46′SECOND HALF Remo 0–1 RB Bragantino
  21. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 45' RB Bragantino · On: Alix Vinicius · Off: Gustavo Marques Alves dos Santos
  22. 49′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Zé Ivaldo · Remo
  23. 55′55′: Jandir Breno Souza Silva on the scoresheet for Remo, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 28–47–25
  24. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Remo 1–1 RB Bragantino · Jandir Breno Souza Silva
  25. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Remo win: 40% at kick-off, 28% now
  26. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was RB Bragantino win 25%)
  27. 56′We said Remo at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 1–1 · 28–48–24
  28. 59′We published Remo at 40%. Our model now makes it 77%. 2–1 · 77–19–4
  29. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Remo 2–1 RB Bragantino
  30. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Remo win: 40% at kick-off, 77% now
  31. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Remo win is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Draw 19%)
  32. 60′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 77–19–4
  33. 61′GOAL DISALLOWED · 61' Remo
  34. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Remo win: 40% at kick-off, 26% now
  35. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Remo win 26%)
  36. 64′We said Remo at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–55–21
  37. 64′Remo have had 16 attempts to 11 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 24–55–21
  38. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Eric Ramires · RB Bragantino
  39. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 66' RB Bragantino · On: Matheus Fernandes · Off: Eduardo Sasha
  40. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Remo · On: Leonel Picco · Off: Patrick Bezerra do Nascimento
  41. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Remo · On: Glaybson Yago Souza Lisboa · Off: Antonio Galeano
  42. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Remo win: 40% at kick-off, 20% now
  43. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' RB Bragantino · On: Jose Herrera · Off: Wallace Yan
  44. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Gabriel Taliari · Remo
  45. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Remo · On: Vitor Bueno · Off: Ze Ricardo
  46. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Remo win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
  47. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' RB Bragantino · On: Gabriel Girotto · Off: Fábio Silva de Freitas
  48. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' RB Bragantino · On: Patrick Roberto da Silva Campos · Off: Eric Ramires
  49. 96′21 shots for Remo, 15 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 1–97–1
  50. FTFULL TIME Remo 1–1 RB Bragantino
  51. FTRemo 1–1 RB Bragantino · Remo win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Remo are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Remo 40%, draw 27%, RB Bragantino 33%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Remo v RB BragantinoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Remo win40%
Draw27%
RB Bragantino win33%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 23:30

RoundMatchday 31

VenueEstádio Evandro Almeida

RefereeAlex Gomes Stefano

Line-ups

Remo

5-4-1

RB Bragantino

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Remo

RB Bragantino

8Days since last match5

Last match: 10 Oct · the Brazilian Serie A

Last match: 13 Oct · the Brazilian Serie A

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10RB Bragantino30+340
19Remo30−1525

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Remo

5-4-1

97 Ivan

79 Marcelinho

13 Marllon

28 José Welison

27 Zé Ivaldo

6 Marlon

26 David Francisco

55 Zé Ricardo

8 Patrick

21 A. Galeano

19 Gabriel Taliari

Coach · Thiago Carpini

Substitutes

39 · Eduardo Melo

35 · Edson Fernando

9 · Gabriel Poveda

7 · Jája Silva

5 · Leo Andrade

2 · Matheus Alexandre

14 · L. Picco

15 · Vitor Bueno

22 · Yago Pikachu

94 · Ygor Vinhas

20 · Andres Dionicio Moreno Gonzalez

61 · Paulo Sérgio Da Costa Evangelista Junior

RB Bragantino

4-2-3-1

18 Tiago Volpi

52 Ryan Tavares

16 Gustavo Marques

2 Guzmán Rodríguez

29 Juninho Capixaba

5 Fabinho

7 Eric Ramires

21 Lucas Barbosa

47 Wallace

11 Fernando

8 Eduardo Sasha

Coach · Vagner Mancini

Substitutes

35 · Matheus Fernandes

6 · Gabriel

3 · Eduardo Santos

32 · J. Herrera

17 · Vinicius

9 · I. Pitta

23 · A. Sant'Anna

1 · Cleiton

15 · I. Sosa

28 · Patrick Silva

4 · Alix

12 · Vanderlan

Our number · remo winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
40% The market30%
Us40%
Market30%

We make Remo a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Remo v RB Bragantino1.34 – 1.20
Form · last six in Serie A this season · since 31 AugW0 D2 L4 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 25 v 4019 v 10
The market · Remo win30% · ours 40%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40%45% 12 OCT 04:0018 OCT 23:05
Our probability · Remo win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 32% to 30% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Remo win40%30%+10
Draw27%26%+1
RB Bragantino win33%44%−11
Over 2.5 goals47%55%−8
Both teams to score51%59%−8
Over 1.5 goals72%77%−5
Over 3.5 goals25%34%−9
Remo or draw67%56%+11
Remo clean sheet30%––
RB Bragantino clean sheet26%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.8%
0123450 8.2 9.3 5.7 2.3 1 10.4 12.8 7.5 3.0 2 7.1 8.4 5.0 2.0 3 3.2 3.8 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Remo down, RB Bragantino across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021
Goals a meeting6.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsRBB 4–2 REM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie A this season · since 31 Aug

REMO

LLLLDD2–3 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–0

RB BRAGANTINO

LDLLDW2–3 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 4–2

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Palmeiras31+3266
2Flamengo30+3364
3Atletico Paranaense31+1253
4Fluminense30+1151
5Atletico-MG31+750
6Bahia30+849
7Cruzeiro30+248
8Sao Paulo31+142
9Santos30+142
10RB Bragantino30+340
11Botafogo31−439
12Coritiba31−1139
13Vitoria30−1136
14Mirassol31−836
15Vasco DA Gama30−735
16Corinthians30−732
17Internacional31−732
18Gremio30−831
19Remo30−1525
20Chapecoense-sc30−3218

The competition's standings before kick-off.