Mirassol v Sao Paulo

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Mirassol win at 47%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Mirassol 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–27–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Mirassol v Sao Paulo
4. 8′A goal for Mirassol on 1′. 0–0 · 46–28–25
5. 8′Neto Moura scores for Mirassol on 7′. 0–0 · 46–28–25
6. 10′We said Mirassol at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–17–9
7. 10′⚽ GOAL · 7' Mirassol 1–0 Sao Paulo · Rafael (own goal)
8. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Mirassol win: 47% at kick-off, 75% now
9. 18′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Djhordney Ferreira · Sao Paulo
10. 28′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Iago Amaral Borduchi · Sao Paulo
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 76–17–7
12. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Mirassol win: 47% at kick-off, 77% now
13. 40′39′: Pedro Lima on the scoresheet for Sao Paulo. 1–0 · 77–17–5
14. 41′8 shots for Mirassol, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 38–39–23
15. 41′⚽ GOAL · 39' Mirassol 1–1 Sao Paulo · Pedro Lima
16. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Mirassol win: 47% at kick-off, 38% now
17. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Mirassol win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
18. 45′HALF-TIME Mirassol 1–1 Sao Paulo
19. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Mirassol win 77%)
20. 46′SECOND HALF Mirassol 1–1 Sao Paulo
21. 48′We said Mirassol at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–43–22
22. 51′We said Mirassol at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–45–21
23. 52′12 shots for Mirassol, 5 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 34–46–21
24. 61′We said Mirassol at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–53–18
25. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve · Mirassol
26. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Sao Paulo · On: Gustavo Santana · Off: Lucas Moura
27. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Mirassol win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
28. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Sao Paulo · On: Pablo Maia · Off: Marcos Antonio
29. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Mirassol · On: Shaylon Kallyson Cardozo · Off: Neto Moura
30. 68′We said Mirassol at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–60–16
31. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Mirassol · On: Carlos Eduardo · Off: Bruno Santos de Oliveira
32. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Mirassol · On: Wallisson · Off: Denilson Alves Borges
33. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Willian Estefani Machado · Mirassol
34. 74′We said Mirassol at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–68–13
35. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Mirassol · On: Fernandinho · Off: Alesson dos Santos Batista
36. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Mirassol win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
37. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Sao Paulo · On: Pedro Ferreira · Off: Djhordney Ferreira
38. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Sao Paulo · On: Wendell · Off: Iago Amaral Borduchi
39. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Mirassol · On: Jose Roberto · Off: Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve
40. 80′We said Mirassol at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–78–9
41. 84′We said Mirassol at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–6
42. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Wallisson · Mirassol
43. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Mirassol win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
44. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Sao Paulo · On: Victor Sá · Off: Damian Bobadilla
45. 90′1–1 at the end. Our 47% on Mirassol misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
46. 91′We said Mirassol at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–3
47. 94′18 shots for Mirassol, 13 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 2–97–1
48. FTFULL TIME Mirassol 1–1 Sao Paulo
49. FTMirassol 1–1 Sao Paulo · Mirassol win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.