Mirassol v Internacional

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Mirassol win at 48%.
2. 0′KICK-OFF Mirassol v Internacional
3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Mirassol 48% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–26–26
4. 16′Internacional are down to ten from 15′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 45–29–26
5. 16′🟥 RED CARD · 15' Matheus Cunha · Internacional
6. 18′SUBSTITUTION · 18' Internacional · On: Kauan Jesus Santos Oliveira · Off: Alexandro Bernabéi
7. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Mirassol win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
8. 44′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Vitinho · Internacional
9. 45′HALF-TIME Mirassol 0–0 Internacional
10. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Internacional · On: Felix Torres · Off: Alerrandro
11. 45′SECOND HALF Mirassol 0–0 Internacional
12. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Mirassol · On: Alesson dos Santos Batista · Off: Neto Moura
13. 47′We said Mirassol at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 0–0 · 36–41–23
14. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Mirassol win 36%)
15. 49′Mirassol ahead on 48′ through Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve. 1–0. 1–0 · 78–17–5
16. 49′⚽ GOAL · 48' Mirassol 1–0 Internacional · Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve
17. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Mirassol win: 48% at kick-off, 78% now
18. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Mirassol win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 17%)
19. 50′We said Mirassol at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 1–0 · 78–17–5
20. 50′🟨 YELLOW · 45+5' Neto Moura · Mirassol
21. 52′We said Mirassol at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–44–22 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
22. 57′We said Mirassol at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
23. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Bruno Gomes · Internacional
24. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Internacional · On: joao victor · Off: José Carlos Ferreira Júnior
25. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Internacional · On: Johan Carbonero · Off: Matheus Bahia
26. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Rodrigo Villagra · Internacional
27. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Mirassol · On: Fernandinho · Off: Edson Carioca
28. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Mirassol · On: Wallisson · Off: Denilson Alves Borges
29. 70′We said Mirassol at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
30. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Mirassol · On: André Luis · Off: Bruno Santos de Oliveira
31. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Mirassol win: 48% at kick-off, 88% now
32. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' André Luis · Mirassol
33. 79′We said Mirassol at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
34. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Mirassol · On: Chico Kim · Off: Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve
35. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Johan Carbonero · Internacional
36. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Internacional · On: João Bezerra · Off: Thiago Maia
37. 87′We said Mirassol at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
38. 88′We said Mirassol at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
39. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Mirassol 2–0 Internacional
40. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Mirassol win: 48% at kick-off, over 99% now
41. 89′André Luis scores for Mirassol on 87′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
42. 90′2–0 at the end. Our 48% on Mirassol comes in. 2–0 · 100–0–0
43. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Gabriel Mercado · Internacional
44. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Kauan Jesus Santos Oliveira · Internacional
45. 93′PENALTY MISSED · 90+2' Reinaldo · Mirassol
46. FTFULL TIME Mirassol 2–0 Internacional
47. FTMirassol 2–0 Internacional · Mirassol win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.