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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Paulista - U20 › São Paulo U20 v Palmeiras U20

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São Paulo U20 v Palmeiras U20

São Paulo U20
18:00Upcoming
Palmeiras U20

Paulista - U20 · MON 26 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

São Paulo U20DrawPalmeiras U20
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00
Before kick-off · Match result · São Paulo U20 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

São Paulo U20 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: São Paulo U20 38%, draw 29%, Palmeiras U20 33%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on São Paulo U20 v Palmeiras U20Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

São Paulo U20 win38%
Draw29%
Palmeiras U20 win33%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 18:00

RoundQuarter-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

São Paulo U20

Palmeiras U20

5Days since last match4

Last match: 21 Oct · Copa do Brasil U20

Last match: 22 Oct · Copa do Brasil U20

3Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · são paulo u20 winFirst published 21 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off
38% The market–
Us38%

We make São Paulo U20 a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · São Paulo U20 v Palmeiras U201.19 – 1.09
Form · last six in Paulista - U20 this season · since 4 SeptW4 D2 L0 · W5 D1 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
São Paulo U20 win38%––
Draw29%––
Palmeiras U20 win33%––
Over 2.5 goals40%––
Both teams to score45%––
Over 1.5 goals66%––
Over 3.5 goals20%––
São Paulo U20 or draw67%––
São Paulo U20 clean sheet34%––
Palmeiras U20 clean sheet32%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%
0123450 11.4 11.1 6.0 2.2 1 11.9 12.7 6.9 2.6 2 7.0 7.4 4.2 3 2.9 3.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+São Paulo U20 down, Palmeiras U20 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting5.50
Over 2.54 of 4
Both scored4 of 4
Last meetingsPAL 3–3 SAO · PAL 3–2 SAO · SAO 3–2 PAL · SAO 1–5 PAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Paulista - U20 this season · since 4 Sept

SÃO PAULO U20

WWDWWD1–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 2–2

PALMEIRAS U20

WWDWWW2–1 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 3–0