São Paulo U20 v Desportivo Brasil U20

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said São Paulo U20 win at 69%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: São Paulo U20 was 69% before kick-off and our model makes it 69% now. 0–0 · 69–20–11
3. 1′KICK-OFF São Paulo U20 v Desportivo Brasil U20
4. 22′A goal for Desportivo Brasil U20 on 22′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 35–28–37
5. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' São Paulo U20 0–1 Desportivo Brasil U20
6. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' São Paulo U20 win: 69% at kick-off, 35% now
7. 23′We said São Paulo U20 at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–28–38
8. 25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Desportivo Brasil U20 win is now our likeliest result at 38% (was São Paulo U20 win 33%)
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 30–29–40
10. 32′We said São Paulo U20 at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–30–41
11. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' São Paulo U20 win: 69% at kick-off, 29% now
12. 41′We said São Paulo U20 at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–30–45
13. 45′HALF-TIME São Paulo U20 0–1 Desportivo Brasil U20
14. 46′SECOND HALF São Paulo U20 0–1 Desportivo Brasil U20
15. 49′Desportivo Brasil U20 score on 49′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 6–14–80
16. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' São Paulo U20 0–2 Desportivo Brasil U20
17. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' São Paulo U20 win: 69% at kick-off, 6% now
18. 50′We said São Paulo U20 at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 0–2 · 5–14–81
19. 54′We said São Paulo U20 at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–12–84
20. 96′A goal for São Paulo U20 on 90′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 2–97–1
21. 96′4 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 2–97–1
22. 96′⚽ GOAL · 85' São Paulo U20 2–2 Desportivo Brasil U20
23. 96′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' São Paulo U20 2–2 Desportivo Brasil U20
24. 96′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+6' Draw is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Desportivo Brasil U20 win 1%)
25. FTFULL TIME São Paulo U20 2–2 Desportivo Brasil U20
26. FTSão Paulo U20 2–2 Desportivo Brasil U20 · São Paulo U20 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.