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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Paulista - U20 › Santos U20 v Santo André U20

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Santos U20 v Santo André U20

Santos U20
18:00Upcoming
Santo André U20

Paulista - U20 · FRI 30 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Santos U20DrawSanto André U20
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Santos U20 75%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Santos U20 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Santos U20 75%, draw 15%, Santo André U20 10%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Santos U20 v Santo André U20Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Santos U20 win75%
Draw15%
Santo André U20 win10%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 18:00

RoundQuarter-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Santos U20

Santo André U20

6Days since last match6

Last match: 24 Oct · Paulista - U20

Last match: 24 Oct · Paulista - U20

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · santos u20 winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 25 Oct 00:16 · locked at kick-off
75% The market–
Us75%

We make Santos U20 a 75% chance to win. The model expects 2.7–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Santos U20 v Santo André U202.72 – 0.88
Form · last six in Paulista - U20 this season · since 12 SeptW6 D0 L0 · W3 D1 L2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
70%75%80% 24 OCT 00:0225 OCT 01:53
Our probability · Santos U20 win

Published at 72%, 75% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Santos U20 win75%––
Draw15%––
Santo André U20 win10%––
Over 2.5 goals69%––
Both teams to score54%––
Over 1.5 goals87%––
Over 3.5 goals48%––
Santos U20 or draw90%––
Santos U20 clean sheet42%––
Santo André U20 clean sheet7%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.0%
0123450 3.1 2.5 1 7.6 6.7 2.9 2 10.0 8.6 3.8 3 8.9 7.6 3.4 4 6.1 5.2 2.3 5 3.4 2.9
under 2% 5% 12%+Santos U20 down, Santo André U20 across0–5 goals a side shown (93.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting3.67
Over 2.53 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsSanto André U20 1–4 Santos U20 · Santos U20 3–0 Santo André U20 · Santo André U20 2–1 Santos U20

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Paulista - U20 this season · since 12 Sept

SANTOS U20

WWWWWW2–0 · 4–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 4–1

SANTO ANDRÉ U20

WDWWLL5–0 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 3–1 · 1–3 · 1–4