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Santo André U20 v Juventus U20

Santo André U20

3–1Full time

Juventus U20

Paulista - U20 · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 21:30

Santo André U20 3–1 Juventus U20 JUVENTUS U20 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Juventus U20 win~~38%

~~The market said~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.595

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.705

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 8 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Juventus U20 win at 38%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Santo André U20 38% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 37–24–39
1′KICK-OFF Santo André U20 v Juventus U20
39′⚽ GOAL · 38' Santo André U20 1–0 Juventus U20
41′38′ and it is 1–0: Santo André U20 have scored. 1–0 · 67–22–11
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Juventus U20 win: 38% at kick-off, 11% now
45′We said Santo André U20 at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 1–0 · 68–22–10
45′HALF-TIME Santo André U20 1–0 Juventus U20
46′SECOND HALF Santo André U20 1–0 Juventus U20
55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Santo André U20 2–0 Juventus U20
78′⚽ GOAL · 77' Santo André U20 2–1 Juventus U20
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Santo André U20 3–1 Juventus U20
FTSanto André U20 3–1 Juventus U20 · Juventus U20 win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Santo André U20 win38%

Draw24%

Juventus U20 win38%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 19:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · juventus u20 winPublished 9 Oct 19:02

38% The market41%

Us38%

~~Market~~41%

We make Juventus U20 a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.5–1.5.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Santo André U20 win	38%	32%	+6
Draw	24%	27%	−3
Juventus U20 win	38%	41%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	58%	51%	+7
Both teams to score	60%	55%	+4
Over 1.5 goals	80%	74%	+7
Over 3.5 goals	36%	31%	+6
Santo André U20 or draw	62%	59%	+2
Santo André U20 clean sheet	22%	–	–
Juventus U20 clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 5.2 7.3 5.6 2.9 1 7.3 10.8 8.0 4.2 2 5.5 8.0 6.0 3.1 3 2.8 4.1 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Santo André U20 down, Juventus U20 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,302 Paulista - U20 matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Paulista - U20 matches have gone over 2.5 in 50.2% of games this season, across 333 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Santo André U20 at home: 2.17 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Juventus U20 away: 2.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.52 goals for Santo André U20, 1.54 for Juventus U20. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2024

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Paulista - U20

SANTO ANDRÉ U20

DDWWDW1–1 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 5–0 · 1–1 · 3–0

JUVENTUS U20

WWWWDW5–0 · 2–1 · 5–0 · 3–1 · 0–0 · 4–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	RB Bragantino U20	16	+63	45
2	Palmeiras U20	16	+23	39
3	Santos U20	15	+32	38
4	Corinthians U20	15	+29	38
5	Ibrachina U20	16	+28	38
6	Guarani U20	16	+20	38
7	São Paulo U20	16	+21	37
8	Juventus U20	15	+23	32
9	Ferroviária U20	15	+11	28
10	Novorizontino U20	16	+10	28
11	Santo André U20	16	+9	26
12	Desportivo Brasil U20	16	+8	26
13	Portuguesa U20	15	+3	26
14	Sfera U20	16	+11	25
15	Capivariano U20	16	+6	24
16	Água Santa U20	16	−4	24
17	Botafogo SP U20	16	+10	23
18	Osasco Audax U20	16	+4	23
19	XV de Piracicaba U20	16	+3	22
20	Oeste U20	16	0	22
21	Sertãozinho U20	15	−2	20
22	Portuguesa Santista U20	15	−3	20
23	Flamengo SP U20	16	−8	20
24	Ponte Preta U20	15	−9	19
25	EC São Bernardo U20	16	−2	17
26	Gremio Prudente U20	16	−7	17
27	XV de Jaú U20	16	−16	17
28	SC Paulinense SP U20	16	−7	16
29	Ituano U20	16	−10	15
30	União Suzano U20	15	−14	15
31	Referencia U20	14	−10	13
32	Jabaquara U20	15	−13	13
33	União São João U20	14	−4	12
34	Bandeirante U20	16	−24	12
35	São Caetano U20	14	−11	11
36	Velo Clube U20	14	−18	11
37	Itapirense U20	13	−15	10
38	São Bento U20	13	−10	9
39	Mauá U20	14	−21	9
40	América-SP U20	13	−23	9
41	Tanabi SP U20	14	−26	9
42	Mirassol U20	13	−9	8
43	Aguai U20	14	−27	8
44	Porto Football U20	14	−21	7