RB Bragantino U20 v Capivariano U20 prediction · Paulista

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

RB Bragantino U20DrawCapivariano U20

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · RB Bragantino U20 81%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

RB Bragantino U20 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: RB Bragantino U20 81%, draw 12%, Capivariano U20 7%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on RB Bragantino U20 v Capivariano U20Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

RB Bragantino U20 win81%

Draw12%

Capivariano U20 win7%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 18:00

RoundQuarter-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

RB Bragantino U20

Capivariano U20

6Days since last match6

Last match: 24 Oct · Paulista - U20

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	RB Bragantino U20	2	+3	6
4	Capivariano U20	2	+1	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rb bragantino u20 winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 25 Oct 00:16 · locked at kick-off

81% The market–

Us81%

We make RB Bragantino U20 an 81% chance to win. The model expects 2.9–0.7, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · RB Bragantino U20 v Capivariano U20~~2.90 – 0.69

~~Form · last six in Paulista - U20 this season · since 12 Sept~~W5 D1 L0 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 6 v 4~~2 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · RB Bragantino U20 win

Published at 82%, 81% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
RB Bragantino U20 win	81%	–	–
Draw	12%	–	–
Capivariano U20 win	7%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
RB Bragantino U20 or draw	93%	–	–
RB Bragantino U20 clean sheet	51%	–	–
Capivariano U20 clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.5%

0123450 3.2 2.0 1 8.3 5.7 2.0 2 11.5 7.8 2.7 3 10.8 7.2 2.5 4 7.9 5.2 5 4.7 3.1

under 2% 5% 12%+RB Bragantino U20 down, Capivariano U20 across0–5 goals a side shown (91.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,321 Paulista - U20 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Paulista - U20 matches have gone over 2.5 in 50.9% of games this season, across 352 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

RB Bragantino U20 at home: 7.33 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Capivariano U20 away: 1.33 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.90 goals for RB Bragantino U20, 0.69 for Capivariano U20. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~CAP 0–1 RBB · RBB 3–1 CAP · CAP 4–1 RBB · RBB 1–1 CAP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Paulista - U20 this season · since 12 Sept

RB BRAGANTINO U20

WWWDWW8–0 · 6–0 · 5–1 · 0–0 · 9–0 · 1–0

CAPIVARIANO U20

DLWWDL1–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 0–1

The table

2026 · U20 Paulista 2026, Group 3

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Água Santa U20	2	+5	6
2	RB Bragantino U20	2	+3	6
3	Ituano U20	2	+1	4
4	Capivariano U20	2	+1	4
5	Guarani U20	1	+4	3
6	Palmeiras U20	1	+2	3
7	Flamengo SP U20	2	0	3
8	XV de Jaú U20	2	−3	3
9	Tanabi SP U20	2	0	2
10	Osasco Audax U20	2	−1	1
11	Mauá U20	2	−1	1
12	Gremio Prudente U20	2	−2	1
13	Porto Football U20	2	−4	1
14	Sfera U20	2	−2	0
15	Referencia U20	2	−3	0