Home › Football › Paulista - U20 › Portuguesa Santista U20 v Corinthians U20

Portuguesa Santista U20 v Corinthians U20

Portuguesa Santista U20

0–0Full time

Corinthians U20

Paulista - U20 · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 21:30

Portuguesa Santista U20 0–0 Corinthians U20 CORINTHIANS U20 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Corinthians U20 win~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.913

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 4 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Corinthians U20 win at 53%.
1′Much as we predicted: Corinthians U20 was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 22–24–54
1′KICK-OFF Portuguesa Santista U20 v Corinthians U20
45′HALF-TIME Portuguesa Santista U20 0–0 Corinthians U20
46′SECOND HALF Portuguesa Santista U20 0–0 Corinthians U20
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Portuguesa Santista U20 0–1 Corinthians U20
FTPortuguesa Santista U20 0–0 Corinthians U20 · Corinthians U20 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Portuguesa Santista U20 win23%

Draw24%

Corinthians U20 win53%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 19:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · corinthians u20 winPublished 9 Oct 18:34

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Corinthians U20 a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.7, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Portuguesa Santista U20 win	23%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Corinthians U20 win	53%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Portuguesa Santista U20 or draw	47%	–	–
Portuguesa Santista U20 clean sheet	19%	–	–
Corinthians U20 clean sheet	37%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 11.3%

0123450 7.2 11.3 9.5 5.5 2.5 1 6.7 11.1 9.2 5.2 2.3 2 3.5 5.6 4.7 2.6 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Portuguesa Santista U20 down, Corinthians U20 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,302 Paulista - U20 matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Paulista - U20 matches have gone over 2.5 in 50.2% of games this season, across 333 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Portuguesa Santista U20 at home: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Corinthians U20 away: 1.33 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.01 goals for Portuguesa Santista U20, 1.71 for Corinthians U20. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~COR 2–0 POR

Form · last six in Paulista - U20

PORTUGUESA SANTISTA U20

LWLWWL1–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–1

CORINTHIANS U20

WLDWWW2–0 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 4–0 · 3–2 · 2–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	RB Bragantino U20	16	+63	45
2	Palmeiras U20	16	+23	39
3	Santos U20	15	+32	38
4	Corinthians U20	15	+29	38
5	Ibrachina U20	16	+28	38
6	Guarani U20	16	+20	38
7	São Paulo U20	16	+21	37
8	Juventus U20	15	+23	32
9	Ferroviária U20	15	+11	28
10	Novorizontino U20	16	+10	28
11	Santo André U20	16	+9	26
12	Desportivo Brasil U20	16	+8	26
13	Portuguesa U20	15	+3	26
14	Sfera U20	16	+11	25
15	Capivariano U20	16	+6	24
16	Água Santa U20	16	−4	24
17	Botafogo SP U20	16	+10	23
18	Osasco Audax U20	16	+4	23
19	XV de Piracicaba U20	16	+3	22
20	Oeste U20	16	0	22
21	Sertãozinho U20	15	−2	20
22	Portuguesa Santista U20	15	−3	20
23	Flamengo SP U20	16	−8	20
24	Ponte Preta U20	15	−9	19
25	EC São Bernardo U20	16	−2	17
26	Gremio Prudente U20	16	−7	17
27	XV de Jaú U20	16	−16	17
28	SC Paulinense SP U20	16	−7	16
29	Ituano U20	16	−10	15
30	União Suzano U20	15	−14	15
31	Referencia U20	14	−10	13
32	Jabaquara U20	15	−13	13
33	União São João U20	14	−4	12
34	Bandeirante U20	16	−24	12
35	São Caetano U20	14	−11	11
36	Velo Clube U20	14	−18	11
37	Itapirense U20	13	−15	10
38	São Bento U20	13	−10	9
39	Mauá U20	14	−21	9
40	América-SP U20	13	−23	9
41	Tanabi SP U20	14	−26	9
42	Mirassol U20	13	−9	8
43	Aguai U20	14	−27	8
44	Porto Football U20	14	−21	7