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Juventus U20 v Santo André U20
Juventus U20Santo André U20Paulista - U20 · SAT 17 OCT
Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 3–1, the score after 90 minutes. Santo André U20 won 3–5 on penalties.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Juventus U20 win at 55%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Juventus U20 55% before kick-off, 55% now. 0–0 · 55–22–23
- 1′KICK-OFF Juventus U20 v Santo André U20
- 10′Juventus U20 score on 10′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 77–14–9
- 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Juventus U20 1–0 Santo André U20
- 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Juventus U20 win: 55% at kick-off, 77% now
- 11′We said Juventus U20 at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–14–9
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 1–0 · 77–15–7
- 38′Santo André U20 find the net on 38′. 1–1. 1–1 · 47–31–22
- 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Juventus U20 1–1 Santo André U20
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Juventus U20 win: 55% at kick-off, 47% now
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Juventus U20 win: 55% at kick-off, 45% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Juventus U20 1–1 Santo André U20
- 46′SECOND HALF Juventus U20 1–1 Santo André U20
- 47′We said Juventus U20 at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 43%. 1–1 · 43–35–21
- 56′A goal for Juventus U20 on 56′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 80–16–4
- 56′We said Juventus U20 at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–16–4
- 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Juventus U20 2–1 Santo André U20
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Juventus U20 win: 55% at kick-off, 80% now
- 72′We said Juventus U20 at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Juventus U20 win: 55% at kick-off, 85% now
- 79′Juventus U20 score on 78′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 79′⚽ GOAL · 78' Juventus U20 3–1 Santo André U20
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Juventus U20 win: 55% at kick-off, 99% now
- 80′We said Juventus U20 at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 80′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 82′We said Juventus U20 at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 90′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes Juventus U20 likeliest at 96%. 3–1 · 96–3–0
- 120′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. The shoot-out decides who goes through - our model does not price it. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Juventus U20 3–1 Santo André U20
- FTJuventus U20 3–1 Santo André U20 after 90 minutes, as graded · Juventus U20 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassJuventus U20 are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Juventus U20 55%, draw 22%, Santo André U20 23%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 60%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Juventus U20 win55%Santo André U20 win23%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 19:00
RoundRound of 16
Match timeline
All events
Juventus U20MINSanto André U20Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Juventus U20
Santo André U20
Last match: 9 Oct · Paulista - U20
Last match: 9 Oct · Paulista - U20
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Juventus U20 a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 13 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus U20 win | 55% | 42% | +13 |
| Draw | 22% | 28% | −6 |
| Santo André U20 win | 23% | 30% | −7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 49% | +13 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 54% | +6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 72% | +11 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 29% | +11 |
| Juventus U20 or draw | 77% | 70% | +7 |
| Juventus U20 clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
| Santo André U20 clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2024Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Paulista - U20 this season · since 21 Aug
JUVENTUS U20
SANTO ANDRÉ U20