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Flamengo SP U20 v RB Bragantino U20

Flamengo SP U20

0–0Full time

RB Bragantino U20

Paulista - U20 · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 21:30

Flamengo SP U20 0–0 RB Bragantino U20 RB BRAGANTINO U20 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG0–3 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said RB Bragantino U20 win~~81%

~~The market said~~76%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.444

~~The market’s Brier score~~1.319

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 5 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said RB Bragantino U20 win at 81%.
1′KICK-OFF Flamengo SP U20 v RB Bragantino U20
2′Little has changed for our model: RB Bragantino U20 81% before kick-off, 83% now. 0–0 · 6–11–83
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' RB Bragantino U20 win: 81% at kick-off, 71% now
43′We said RB Bragantino U20 at 81%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 68%. 0–0 · 9–23–68
45′HALF-TIME Flamengo SP U20 0–0 RB Bragantino U20
46′SECOND HALF Flamengo SP U20 0–0 RB Bragantino U20
89′🟥 RED CARD · 89' RB Bragantino U20
FTFlamengo SP U20 0–0 RB Bragantino U20 · RB Bragantino U20 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 0–3 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Flamengo SP U20 win7%

Draw12%

RB Bragantino U20 win81%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 19:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rb bragantino u20 winPublished 9 Oct 19:02

81% The market76%

Us81%

~~Market~~76%

We make RB Bragantino U20 a 81% chance to win. The market has them at 76%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.8–3.2.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · rb bragantino u20 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 78% to 76% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Flamengo SP U20 win	7%	9%	−2
Draw	12%	15%	−3
RB Bragantino U20 win	81%	76%	+5
Over 2.5 goals	74%	66%	+8
Both teams to score	51%	48%	+3
Over 1.5 goals	89%	82%	+8
Over 3.5 goals	55%	47%	+8
Flamengo SP U20 or draw	19%	24%	−5
Flamengo SP U20 clean sheet	5%	–	–
RB Bragantino U20 clean sheet	47%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–3 at 9.6%

0123450 2.4 6.5 9.5 9.6 7.6 5.11 5.2 7.3 7.2 5.5 3.52 2.2 3.0 2.9 2.2 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Flamengo SP U20 down, RB Bragantino U20 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,302 Paulista - U20 matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Paulista - U20 matches have gone over 2.5 in 50.2% of games this season, across 333 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Flamengo SP U20 at home: 0.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). RB Bragantino U20 away: 3.67 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.79 goals for Flamengo SP U20, 3.16 for RB Bragantino U20. Most likely score 0–3.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~RBB 3–1 FLA

Form · last six in Paulista - U20

FLAMENGO SP U20

DLWLWL0–0 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 0–3 · 2–0 · 1–2

RB BRAGANTINO U20

WWLWWW3–1 · 4–0 · 0–1 · 8–0 · 6–0 · 5–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	RB Bragantino U20	16	+63	45
2	Palmeiras U20	16	+23	39
3	Santos U20	15	+32	38
4	Corinthians U20	15	+29	38
5	Ibrachina U20	16	+28	38
6	Guarani U20	16	+20	38
7	São Paulo U20	16	+21	37
8	Juventus U20	15	+23	32
9	Ferroviária U20	15	+11	28
10	Novorizontino U20	16	+10	28
11	Santo André U20	16	+9	26
12	Desportivo Brasil U20	16	+8	26
13	Portuguesa U20	15	+3	26
14	Sfera U20	16	+11	25
15	Capivariano U20	16	+6	24
16	Água Santa U20	16	−4	24
17	Botafogo SP U20	16	+10	23
18	Osasco Audax U20	16	+4	23
19	XV de Piracicaba U20	16	+3	22
20	Oeste U20	16	0	22
21	Sertãozinho U20	15	−2	20
22	Portuguesa Santista U20	15	−3	20
23	Flamengo SP U20	16	−8	20
24	Ponte Preta U20	15	−9	19
25	EC São Bernardo U20	16	−2	17
26	Gremio Prudente U20	16	−7	17
27	XV de Jaú U20	16	−16	17
28	SC Paulinense SP U20	16	−7	16
29	Ituano U20	16	−10	15
30	União Suzano U20	15	−14	15
31	Referencia U20	14	−10	13
32	Jabaquara U20	15	−13	13
33	União São João U20	14	−4	12
34	Bandeirante U20	16	−24	12
35	São Caetano U20	14	−11	11
36	Velo Clube U20	14	−18	11
37	Itapirense U20	13	−15	10
38	São Bento U20	13	−10	9
39	Mauá U20	14	−21	9
40	América-SP U20	13	−23	9
41	Tanabi SP U20	14	−26	9
42	Mirassol U20	13	−9	8
43	Aguai U20	14	−27	8
44	Porto Football U20	14	−21	7