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Home › Football › Paulista - U20 › Corinthians U20 v Portuguesa Santista U20

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Corinthians U20 v Portuguesa Santista U20

Corinthians U20
6–1Full time
Portuguesa Santista U20

Paulista - U20 · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 21:30
Corinthians U20 6–1 Portuguesa Santista U20 CORINTHIANS U20 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Corinthians U20 win69%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.144

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 16 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Corinthians U20 win at 69%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Corinthians U20 was 69% before kick-off and our model makes it 70% now. 0–0 · 70–19–11
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Corinthians U20 v Portuguesa Santista U20
  4. 14′Portuguesa Santista U20 find the net on 14′. 0–1. 0–1 · 39–27–34
  5. 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Corinthians U20 0–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
  6. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Corinthians U20 win: 69% at kick-off, 39% now
  7. 15′We said Corinthians U20 at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–1 · 39–27–34
  8. 16′A goal for Corinthians U20 on 15′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 66–22–12
  9. 16′⚽ GOAL · 15' Corinthians U20 1–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
  10. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Corinthians U20 win: 69% at kick-off, 66% now
  11. 28′Corinthians U20 score on 28′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 88–10–3
  12. 28′We published Corinthians U20 at 69%. Our model now makes it 88%. 2–1 · 88–10–3
  13. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Corinthians U20 2–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
  14. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Corinthians U20 win: 69% at kick-off, 88% now
  15. 30′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 88–10–2
  16. 34′Corinthians U20 find the net on 34′. 3–1. 3–1 · 98–2–0
  17. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Corinthians U20 3–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
  18. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Corinthians U20 win: 69% at kick-off, 98% now
  19. 35′We published Corinthians U20 at 69%. Our model now makes it 98%. 3–1 · 98–2–0
  20. 36′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 98–2–0
  21. 45′HALF-TIME Corinthians U20 3–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
  22. 46′SECOND HALF Corinthians U20 3–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
  23. 52′A goal for Corinthians U20 on 52′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  24. 52′We published Corinthians U20 at 69%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  25. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Corinthians U20 4–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
  26. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Corinthians U20 win: 69% at kick-off, over 99% now
  27. 53′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  28. 64′Corinthians U20 score on 64′ to make it 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
  29. 64′6 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 5–1 · 100–0–0
  30. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Corinthians U20 5–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
  31. 89′Corinthians U20 find the net on 89′. 6–1. 6–1 · 100–0–0
  32. 89′That is 7, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 6–1 · 100–0–0
  33. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Corinthians U20 6–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
  34. FTFULL TIME Corinthians U20 6–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
  35. FTCorinthians U20 6–1 Portuguesa Santista U20 · Corinthians U20 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Corinthians U20 are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Corinthians U20 69%, draw 19%, Portuguesa Santista U20 12%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Corinthians U20 v Portuguesa Santista U20Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Corinthians U20 win69%
Draw19%
Portuguesa Santista U20 win12%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Corinthians U20

Portuguesa Santista U20

7Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Paulista - U20

Last match: 9 Oct · Paulista - U20

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026 · U20 Paulista 2026, Group 1

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Portuguesa Santista U201+13
6Corinthians U201+13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · corinthians u20 winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
69% The market–
Us69%

We make Corinthians U20 a 69% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–0.7, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Corinthians U20 v Portuguesa Santista U202.13 – 0.71
Form · last six in Paulista - U20 this season · since 21 AugW3 D2 L1 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 3 v 36 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Corinthians U20 win69%––
Draw19%––
Portuguesa Santista U20 win12%––
Over 2.5 goals54%––
Both teams to score44%––
Over 1.5 goals77%––
Over 3.5 goals32%––
Corinthians U20 or draw88%––
Corinthians U20 clean sheet50%––
Portuguesa Santista U20 clean sheet13%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 13.0%
0123450 6.4 4.2 1 12.5 8.8 3.2 2 13.0 9.0 3.3 3 9.2 6.3 2.3 4 5.0 3.4 5 2.3
under 2% 5% 12%+Corinthians U20 down, Portuguesa Santista U20 across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsPOR 0–0 COR · COR 2–0 POR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Paulista - U20 this season · since 21 Aug

CORINTHIANS U20

LDWWWD1–2 · 0–0 · 4–0 · 3–2 · 2–0 · 0–0

PORTUGUESA SANTISTA U20

WLWWLD1–0 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–0

The table

2026 · U20 Paulista 2026, Group 1
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Juventus U201+33
2Santos U201+33
3Ferroviária U201+23
4Portuguesa Santista U201+13
5Portuguesa U201+13
6Corinthians U201+13
7União Suzano U201+13
8Ponte Preta U201−10
9Jabaquara U201−10
10São Bento U201−10
11Mirassol U201−10
12Itapirense U201−20
13América-SP U201−30
14Sertãozinho U201−30

The competition's standings before kick-off.