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Corinthians U20 v Portuguesa Santista U20
Corinthians U20
Portuguesa Santista U20Paulista - U20 · FRI 16 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Corinthians U20 win at 69%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Corinthians U20 was 69% before kick-off and our model makes it 70% now. 0–0 · 70–19–11
- 1′KICK-OFF Corinthians U20 v Portuguesa Santista U20
- 14′Portuguesa Santista U20 find the net on 14′. 0–1. 0–1 · 39–27–34
- 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Corinthians U20 0–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
- 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Corinthians U20 win: 69% at kick-off, 39% now
- 15′We said Corinthians U20 at 69%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–1 · 39–27–34
- 16′A goal for Corinthians U20 on 15′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 66–22–12
- 16′⚽ GOAL · 15' Corinthians U20 1–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
- 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Corinthians U20 win: 69% at kick-off, 66% now
- 28′Corinthians U20 score on 28′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 88–10–3
- 28′We published Corinthians U20 at 69%. Our model now makes it 88%. 2–1 · 88–10–3
- 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Corinthians U20 2–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Corinthians U20 win: 69% at kick-off, 88% now
- 30′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 88–10–2
- 34′Corinthians U20 find the net on 34′. 3–1. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Corinthians U20 3–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Corinthians U20 win: 69% at kick-off, 98% now
- 35′We published Corinthians U20 at 69%. Our model now makes it 98%. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 36′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 45′HALF-TIME Corinthians U20 3–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
- 46′SECOND HALF Corinthians U20 3–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
- 52′A goal for Corinthians U20 on 52′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 52′We published Corinthians U20 at 69%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Corinthians U20 4–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Corinthians U20 win: 69% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 53′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 64′Corinthians U20 score on 64′ to make it 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 64′6 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Corinthians U20 5–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
- 89′Corinthians U20 find the net on 89′. 6–1. 6–1 · 100–0–0
- 89′That is 7, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 6–1 · 100–0–0
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Corinthians U20 6–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
- FTFULL TIME Corinthians U20 6–1 Portuguesa Santista U20
- FTCorinthians U20 6–1 Portuguesa Santista U20 · Corinthians U20 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassCorinthians U20 are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Corinthians U20 69%, draw 19%, Portuguesa Santista U20 12%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 44%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Corinthians U20 win69%
Portuguesa Santista U20 win12%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 19:00
RoundRound of 16
Match timeline
All events
Corinthians U20MIN
Portuguesa Santista U20Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Corinthians U20
Portuguesa Santista U20
Last match: 9 Oct · Paulista - U20
Last match: 9 Oct · Paulista - U20
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Corinthians U20 a 69% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–0.7, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians U20 win | 69% | – | – |
| Draw | 19% | – | – |
| Portuguesa Santista U20 win | 12% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 44% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | – | – |
| Corinthians U20 or draw | 88% | – | – |
| Corinthians U20 clean sheet | 50% | – | – |
| Portuguesa Santista U20 clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2024Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Paulista - U20 this season · since 21 Aug
CORINTHIANS U20
PORTUGUESA SANTISTA U20
The table
2026 · U20 Paulista 2026, Group 1| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus U20 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 | Santos U20 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 | Ferroviária U20 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Portuguesa Santista U20 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 | Portuguesa U20 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Corinthians U20 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 | União Suzano U20 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Ponte Preta U20 | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 9 | Jabaquara U20 | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 10 | São Bento U20 | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 11 | Mirassol U20 | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 12 | Itapirense U20 | 1 | −2 | 0 |
| 13 | América-SP U20 | 1 | −3 | 0 |
| 14 | Sertãozinho U20 | 1 | −3 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Juventus U20
Santos U20
Ferroviária U20
Portuguesa U20
União Suzano U20
Ponte Preta U20
Jabaquara U20
São Bento U20
Mirassol U20
Itapirense U20
América-SP U20
Sertãozinho U20