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Cruzeiro U20 v Atlético Mineiro U20

Cruzeiro U20

18:00Upcoming

Atlético Mineiro U20

Mineiro U20 · MON 26 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Cruzeiro U20DrawAtlético Mineiro U20

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Cruzeiro U20 51%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Cruzeiro U20 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Cruzeiro U20 51%, draw 19%, Atlético Mineiro U20 30%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 76%.

The AI’s read on Cruzeiro U20 v Atlético Mineiro U20Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Cruzeiro U20 win51%

Draw19%

Atlético Mineiro U20 win30%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 18:00

RoundFinal

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Cruzeiro U20

Atlético Mineiro U20

7Days since last match4

Last match: 19 Oct · Mineiro U20

Last match: 22 Oct · Copa do Brasil U20

1Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Atlético Mineiro U20	22	+40	49
2	Cruzeiro U20	22	+19	42

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cruzeiro u20 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Cruzeiro U20 a 51% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.9, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Cruzeiro U20 v Atlético Mineiro U20~~2.45 – 1.86

~~Form · last six in Mineiro U20 this season · since 30 Aug~~W3 D1 L2 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 42 v 49~~2 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Cruzeiro U20 win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Cruzeiro U20 win	51%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Atlético Mineiro U20 win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	80%	–	–
Both teams to score	76%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	62%	–	–
Cruzeiro U20 or draw	70%	–	–
Cruzeiro U20 clean sheet	16%	–	–
Atlético Mineiro U20 clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.4%

0123450 2.7 2.4 1 3.5 6.2 5.6 3.5 2 4.1 7.4 6.7 4.1 3 3.3 5.9 5.4 3.3 4 2.1 3.7 3.3 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Cruzeiro U20 down, Atlético Mineiro U20 across0–5 goals a side shown (94.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 361 Mineiro U20 matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Mineiro U20 matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.3% of games this season, across 139 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2024 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 5 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Cruzeiro U20 at home: 3.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Atlético Mineiro U20 away: 1.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.45 goals for Cruzeiro U20, 1.86 for Atlético Mineiro U20. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 8

~~Both scored~~6 of 8

~~Last meetings~~ATL 4–3 CRU · ATL 0–0 CRU · CRU 3–2 ATL · CRU 2–1 ATL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Mineiro U20 this season · since 30 Aug

CRUZEIRO U20

WWDLWL3–2 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 3–4

ATLÉTICO MINEIRO U20

WLWWWW4–0 · 1–4 · 4–2 · 5–1 · 3–1 · 4–3

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Atlético Mineiro U20	22	+40	49
2	Cruzeiro U20	22	+19	42
3	América Mineiro U20	22	+21	38
4	Athletic Club MG U20	21	+10	38
5	Nacional de Muriae U20	20	+6	36
6	Coimbra U20	21	+3	30
7	Boston City U20	22	0	29
8	Itabirito U20	20	−6	25
9	Betim U20	19	−17	20
10	Inter de Minas U20	14	−3	18
11	Sao Joao del Rei U20	14	+2	16
12	Villa Real U20	14	−9	16
13	Social U20	19	−26	16
14	Minas Boca U20	14	−18	10
15	Uberabinha U20	14	−22	4