Boston City U20 v América Mineiro U20

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said América Mineiro U20 win at 43%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: América Mineiro U20 was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 33–24–43
3. 1′KICK-OFF Boston City U20 v América Mineiro U20
4. 37′América Mineiro U20 find the net on 37′. 0–1. 0–1 · 10–20–70
5. 37′We published América Mineiro U20 at 43%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 10–20–70
6. 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Boston City U20 0–1 América Mineiro U20
7. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' América Mineiro U20 win: 43% at kick-off, 70% now
8. 38′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 0–1 · 10–20–70
9. 41′A goal for Boston City U20 on 41′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 29–34–36
10. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Boston City U20 1–1 América Mineiro U20
11. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' América Mineiro U20 win: 43% at kick-off, 36% now
12. 45′HALF-TIME Boston City U20 1–1 América Mineiro U20
13. 46′SECOND HALF Boston City U20 1–1 América Mineiro U20
14. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was América Mineiro U20 win 34%)
15. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' América Mineiro U20 win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
16. 56′We said América Mineiro U20 at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 26–43–31
17. 60′We said América Mineiro U20 at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 25–46–29
18. 69′We said América Mineiro U20 at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 20–55–24
19. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' América Mineiro U20 win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
20. 75′We said América Mineiro U20 at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 17–64–19
21. 80′We said América Mineiro U20 at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 12–73–14
22. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' América Mineiro U20 win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
23. 84′We said América Mineiro U20 at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 8–82–9
24. 91′We said América Mineiro U20 at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
25. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' América Mineiro U20 win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
26. FTFULL TIME Boston City U20 1–1 América Mineiro U20
27. FTBoston City U20 1–1 América Mineiro U20 · América Mineiro U20 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.