América Mineiro U20 v Boston City U20

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said América Mineiro U20 win at 64%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: América Mineiro U20 was 64% before kick-off and our model makes it 64% now. 0–0 · 64–19–17
3. 1′KICK-OFF América Mineiro U20 v Boston City U20
4. 22′Boston City U20 score on 22′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 33–26–41
5. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' América Mineiro U20 0–1 Boston City U20
6. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' América Mineiro U20 win: 64% at kick-off, 33% now
7. 22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Boston City U20 win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was América Mineiro U20 win 59%)
8. 23′We said América Mineiro U20 at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 0–1 · 32–26–42
9. 30′We said América Mineiro U20 at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–27–44
10. 31′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 29–27–44
11. 37′Boston City U20 find the net on 37′. 0–2. 0–2 · 10–16–74
12. 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' América Mineiro U20 0–2 Boston City U20
13. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' América Mineiro U20 win: 64% at kick-off, 10% now
14. 38′We said América Mineiro U20 at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–2 · 9–16–75
15. 45′A goal for América Mineiro U20 on 44′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 22–29–50
16. 45′⚽ GOAL · 44' América Mineiro U20 1–2 Boston City U20
17. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' América Mineiro U20 win: 64% at kick-off, 22% now
18. 45′HALF-TIME América Mineiro U20 1–2 Boston City U20
19. 46′We said América Mineiro U20 at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 1–2 · 21–29–50
20. 46′SECOND HALF América Mineiro U20 1–2 Boston City U20
21. 49′We said América Mineiro U20 at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–2 · 19–29–52
22. 58′We said América Mineiro U20 at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–28–57
23. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' América Mineiro U20 win: 64% at kick-off, 14% now
24. 60′Boston City U20 score on 59′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 3–10–87
25. 60′We said América Mineiro U20 at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 1–3 · 3–10–87
26. 60′⚽ GOAL · 59' América Mineiro U20 1–3 Boston City U20
27. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' América Mineiro U20 win: 64% at kick-off, 3% now
28. 61′4 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 3–10–88
29. 70′América Mineiro U20 find the net on 70′. 2–3. 2–3 · 7–25–68
30. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' América Mineiro U20 2–3 Boston City U20
31. 71′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 7–25–69
32. 81′A goal for América Mineiro U20 on 81′ — 3–3. 3–3 · 18–74–8
33. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' América Mineiro U20 3–3 Boston City U20
34. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' América Mineiro U20 win: 64% at kick-off, 18% now
35. 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Draw is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Boston City U20 win 82%)
36. 82′6 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 16–76–7
37. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' América Mineiro U20 win: 64% at kick-off, 13% now
38. 92′América Mineiro U20 score on 90′ to make it 4–3. 4–3 · 98–2–0
39. 92′We published América Mineiro U20 at 64%. Our model now makes it 98%. 4–3 · 98–2–0
40. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' América Mineiro U20 4–3 Boston City U20
41. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' América Mineiro U20 win: 64% at kick-off, 98% now
42. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' América Mineiro U20 win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 92%)
43. 93′That is 7, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 4–3 · 98–2–0
44. 95′América Mineiro U20 find the net on 90′. 5–3. 5–3 · 100–0–0
45. 95′We published América Mineiro U20 at 64%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 5–3 · 100–0–0
46. 95′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' América Mineiro U20 5–3 Boston City U20
47. 96′8 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 5–3 · 100–0–0
48. FTFULL TIME América Mineiro U20 5–3 Boston City U20
49. FTAmérica Mineiro U20 5–3 Boston City U20 · América Mineiro U20 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.