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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Carioca - 2 › São Cristóvão RJ v Macaé

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São Cristóvão RJ v Macaé

São Cristóvão RJ
18:00Upcoming
Macaé

Carioca - 2 · SAT 31 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

São Cristóvão RJDrawMacaé
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00
Before kick-off · Match result · São Cristóvão RJ 36%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with São Cristóvão RJ just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: São Cristóvão RJ 36%, draw 31%, Macaé 33%. Over 2.5 goals 29%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on São Cristóvão RJ v MacaéBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

São Cristóvão RJ win36%
Draw31%
Macaé win33%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

São Cristóvão RJ

Macaé

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Carioca - 2

Last match: 24 Oct · Carioca - 2

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
8Macaé9011
9São Cristóvão RJ9−37

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · são cristóvão rj winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off
36% The market–
Us36%

We make São Cristóvão RJ a 36% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · São Cristóvão RJ v Macaé0.96 – 0.89
Form · last six in Carioca - 2 this season · since 25 SeptW1 D2 L3 · W2 D2 L2
Table places · points 7 v 119 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
São Cristóvão RJ win36%––
Draw31%––
Macaé win33%––
Over 2.5 goals29%––
Both teams to score35%––
Over 1.5 goals54%––
Over 3.5 goals12%––
São Cristóvão RJ or draw67%––
São Cristóvão RJ clean sheet42%––
Macaé clean sheet39%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 15.6%
0123450 15.6 14.5 6.2 1 15.6 12.3 5.7 2 7.2 6.2 2.8 3 2.4 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+São Cristóvão RJ down, Macaé across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Carioca - 2 this season · since 25 Sept

SÃO CRISTÓVÃO RJ

WLDLDL1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–1

MACAÉ

DWLLWD0–0 · 4–3 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 0–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Duque de Caxias9+919
2Niteroiense9+519
3Serrano RJ9+518
4Goytacaz9+518
5Petrópolis9+415
6Artsul9+213
7Campo Grande9−312
8Macaé9011
9São Cristóvão RJ9−37
10Nova Cidade9−46
11Audax Rio9−75
12Carapebus9−132

The competition's standings before kick-off.