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São Cristóvão RJ v Campo Grande
São Cristóvão RJCampo GrandeCarioca - 2 · WED 21 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said São Cristóvão RJ win at 43%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: São Cristóvão RJ was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–31–26
- 1′KICK-OFF São Cristóvão RJ v Campo Grande
- 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was São Cristóvão RJ win 38%)
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' São Cristóvão RJ win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
- 45′We said São Cristóvão RJ at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 0–0 · 31–48–20
- 45′HALF-TIME São Cristóvão RJ 0–0 Campo Grande
- 46′SECOND HALF São Cristóvão RJ 0–0 Campo Grande
- 51′We said São Cristóvão RJ at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–52–19
- 61′We said São Cristóvão RJ at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–60–16
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' São Cristóvão RJ win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
- 69′We said São Cristóvão RJ at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–68–13
- 73′São Cristóvão RJ score on 72′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 89–10–1
- 73′We published São Cristóvão RJ at 43%. Our model now makes it 89%. 1–0 · 89–10–1
- 73′⚽ GOAL · 72' São Cristóvão RJ 1–0 Campo Grande
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' São Cristóvão RJ win: 43% at kick-off, 89% now
- 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' São Cristóvão RJ win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 72%)
- 74′GOAL DISALLOWED · 74' São Cristóvão RJ
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' São Cristóvão RJ win: 43% at kick-off, 15% now
- 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Draw is now our likeliest result at 74% (was São Cristóvão RJ win 89%)
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' São Cristóvão RJ win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
- 89′We said São Cristóvão RJ at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' São Cristóvão RJ win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
- FTFULL TIME São Cristóvão RJ 0–0 Campo Grande
- FTSão Cristóvão RJ 0–0 Campo Grande · São Cristóvão RJ win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
São Cristóvão RJ are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: São Cristóvão RJ 43%, draw 30%, Campo Grande 26%. Over 2.5 goals 28%, both teams to score 33%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
São Cristóvão RJ win43%Campo Grande win26%Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 19:00
RoundMatchday 8
Match timeline
All events
São Cristóvão RJMINCampo GrandeEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
São Cristóvão RJ
Campo Grande
Last match: 17 Oct · Carioca - 2
Last match: 17 Oct · Carioca - 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Campo Grande | 7 | −5 | 8 |
| 10 | São Cristóvão RJ | 7 | −2 | 6 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make São Cristóvão RJ a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 41%, 43% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| São Cristóvão RJ win | 43% | – | – |
| Draw | 30% | – | – |
| Campo Grande win | 26% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 33% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 54% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12% | – | – |
| São Cristóvão RJ or draw | 74% | – | – |
| São Cristóvão RJ clean sheet | 48% | – | – |
| Campo Grande clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2024Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Carioca - 2 this season · since 12 Sept
SÃO CRISTÓVÃO RJ
CAMPO GRANDE
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Niteroiense | 7 | +6 | 16 |
| 2 |  Duque de Caxias | 7 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 |  Serrano RJ | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Petrópolis | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  Goytacaz | 7 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |  Artsul | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Campo Grande | 7 | −5 | 8 |
| 8 |  Macaé | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Nova Cidade | 7 | −2 | 6 |
| 10 | São Cristóvão RJ | 7 | −2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Audax Rio | 7 | −6 | 4 |
| 12 |  Carapebus | 7 | −11 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.