Petrópolis v Serrano RJ

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Petrópolis win at 37%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Petrópolis 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 37–29–34
3. 1′KICK-OFF Petrópolis v Serrano RJ
4. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Petrópolis win 34%)
5. 37′Serrano RJ score on 36′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 8–22–70
6. 37′We said Petrópolis at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 0–1 · 8–22–70
7. 37′⚽ GOAL · 36' Petrópolis 0–1 Serrano RJ
8. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Petrópolis win: 37% at kick-off, 8% now
9. 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Serrano RJ win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 41%)
10. 38′The goal count is tracking the 2.0 we expected. 0–1 · 8–22–70
11. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Petrópolis win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
12. 45′HALF-TIME Petrópolis 0–1 Serrano RJ
13. 46′SECOND HALF Petrópolis 0–1 Serrano RJ
14. 56′We said Petrópolis at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
15. 86′Petrópolis find the net on 86′. 1–1. 1–1 · 5–90–5
16. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Petrópolis 1–1 Serrano RJ
17. 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Draw is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Serrano RJ win 95%)
18. FTFULL TIME Petrópolis 1–1 Serrano RJ
19. FTPetrópolis 1–1 Serrano RJ · Petrópolis win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.