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Petrópolis v Artsul

Petrópolis
1–1Full time
Artsul

Carioca - 2 · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 21:30
Petrópolis 1–1 Artsul PETRÓPOLIS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Petrópolis win40%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.796

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 6 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Petrópolis win at 40%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Petrópolis 40% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–29–31
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Petrópolis v Artsul
  4. 36′THE CALL SWINGS · 36' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Petrópolis win 33%)
  5. 45′HALF-TIME Petrópolis 0–0 Artsul
  6. 46′SECOND HALF Petrópolis 0–0 Artsul
  7. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Petrópolis 1–0 Artsul
  8. 90′⚽ GOAL · 89' Petrópolis 1–1 Artsul
  9. FTPetrópolis 1–1 Artsul · Petrópolis win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Petrópolis win40%
Draw27%
Artsul win32%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 19:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · petrópolis winPublished 9 Oct 19:02
40% The market–
Us40%

We make Petrópolis a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Petrópolis win40%––
Draw27%––
Artsul win32%––
Over 2.5 goals37%––
Both teams to score41%––
Over 1.5 goals62%––
Over 3.5 goals18%––
Petrópolis or draw68%––
Petrópolis clean sheet38%––
Artsul clean sheet32%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.3%
0123450 11.2 12.5 5.8 2.0 1 14.3 11.9 6.3 2.2 2 7.7 7.3 3.6 3 3.1 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Petrópolis down, Artsul across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsPET 1–0 ART

Form · last six in Carioca - 2

PETRÓPOLIS

LDDWWD0–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 0–0

ARTSUL

DWWDDL1–1 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 3–4

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Niteroiense5+613
2Goytacaz5+110
3Duque de Caxias5+49
4Petrópolis5+39
5Artsul5+28
6Campo Grande5+18
7Serrano RJ508
8Macaé5+17
9São Cristóvão RJ5−15
10Nova Cidade5−52
11Carapebus5−61
12Audax Rio5−61

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.