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Nova Cidade v Campo Grande
Carioca - 2 · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Campo Grande win at 38%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Campo Grande was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 32–31–37
- 1′KICK-OFF Nova Cidade v Campo Grande
- 6′Much as we predicted: Campo Grande was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 32–32–37
- 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Campo Grande win 33%)
- 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Nova Cidade 0–1 Campo Grande
- 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Campo Grande win 33%)
- 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Campo Grande win 33%)
- 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Campo Grande win 33%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Nova Cidade 0–0 Campo Grande
- 46′SECOND HALF Nova Cidade 0–0 Campo Grande
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Nova Cidade 1–0 Campo Grande
- 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Nova Cidade 2–0 Campo Grande
- FTFULL TIME Nova Cidade 3–0 Campo Grande
- FTNova Cidade 3–0 Campo Grande · Campo Grande win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 19:00
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Campo Grande a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.1, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nova Cidade win | 33% | – | – |
| Draw | 29% | – | – |
| Campo Grande win | 38% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 38% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | – | – |
| Nova Cidade or draw | 62% | – | – |
| Nova Cidade clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
| Campo Grande clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2021Form · last six in Carioca - 2
NOVA CIDADE
CAMPO GRANDE
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Niteroiense | 5 | +6 | 13 |
| 2 |  Petrópolis | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  Goytacaz | 5 | +1 | 10 |
| 4 |  Duque de Caxias | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 |  Artsul | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 | Campo Grande | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Serrano RJ | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 |  Macaé | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  São Cristóvão RJ | 5 | −1 | 5 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 5 | −5 | 2 |
| 11 |  Carapebus | 5 | −6 | 1 |
| 12 |  Audax Rio | 5 | −6 | 1 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.